Statistics / Football / Burundi. Ligue A / Royal Vision vs Kayanza United

Royal Vision vs Kayanza United Statistics & Analysis

Royal Vision Royal Vision
Oct 14, 2026 - 13:45
3 1.38
0 1.22
xG Accuracy: 46%
Kayanza United Kayanza United
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Royal Vision Royal Vision ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 3-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 03, 2026 · 01:26 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-12687311

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Royal Vision win · Royal Vision 3–0 Kayanza United
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Ligue A
  • Fixture: Royal Vision vs Kayanza United
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-09 13:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 39.0% · Draw 29.5% · Away 31.5%
  • xG (showing): Royal Vision 1.38 — Kayanza United 1.22 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 17, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Ligue A Ligue A — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Royal Vision 7 6 1 0 19
2 Muzinga 7 4 2 1 14
3 Aigle Noir 6 3 2 1 11
4 Bumamuru 7 3 1 3 10
5 Le Messager Ngozi 5 3 1 1 10
6 Musongati 7 3 1 3 10
7 Olympic Star 6 2 3 1 9
8 Ngozi City 6 3 0 3 9
9 Rukinzo 4 2 2 0 8
10 Vital'O 6 2 2 2 8
11 Flambeau du Centre 6 1 3 2 6
12 Never Give Up Academy 6 1 2 3 5
13 Kayanza United 7 0 5 2 5
14 Inter Star 4 0 2 2 2
15 Young Star 7 0 2 5 2
16 Panthere Noir 5 0 1 4 1
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Royal Vision 7 22 3 +19 19
2 Aigle Noir 6 11 8 +3 11
3 Muzinga 7 10 5 +5 14
4 Bumamuru 7 10 7 +3 10
5 Rukinzo 4 9 1 +8 8
6 Musongati 7 8 8 0 10
7 Vital'O 6 8 13 -5 8
8 Ngozi City 6 7 10 -3 9
9 Olympic Star 6 6 5 +1 9
10 Flambeau du Centre 6 6 7 -1 6
11 Le Messager Ngozi 5 5 4 +1 10
12 Inter Star 4 4 6 -2 2
13 Never Give Up Academy 6 4 7 -3 5
14 Kayanza United 7 3 7 -4 5
15 Young Star 7 3 20 -17 2
16 Panthere Noir 5 2 7 -5 1
Ligue A Burundi. Ligue A Predictions