Statistics / Football / Burundi. Ligue A / Ngozi City vs Royal Vision

Ngozi City vs Royal Vision Statistics & Analysis

Ngozi City Ngozi City
Oct 11, 2026 - 13:00
0 1.19
5 1.41
xG Accuracy: 27%
Royal Vision Royal Vision
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Royal Vision Royal Vision ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 0-0 0-5 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 10, 2026 · 01:58 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-7846595

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Royal Vision win · Ngozi City 0–5 Royal Vision
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Ligue A
  • Fixture: Ngozi City vs Royal Vision
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-16 13:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 30.1% · Draw 29.4% · Away 40.5%
  • xG (showing): Ngozi City 1.19 — Royal Vision 1.41 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.2% · No 45.8%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.2% · No 45.8%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 12, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Ligue A Ligue A — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Royal Vision 5 4 1 0 13
2 Muzinga 6 4 1 1 13
3 Aigle Noir 6 3 2 1 11
4 Le Messager Ngozi 4 3 1 0 10
5 Ngozi City 5 3 0 2 9
6 Olympic Star 6 2 3 1 9
7 Rukinzo 4 2 2 0 8
8 Vital'O 5 2 2 1 8
9 Bumamuru 6 2 1 3 7
10 Flambeau du Centre 5 1 2 2 5
11 Kayanza United 6 0 5 1 5
12 Never Give Up Academy 5 1 1 3 4
13 Musongati 5 1 1 3 4
14 Inter Star 4 0 2 2 2
15 Panthere Noir 4 0 1 3 1
16 Young Star 6 0 1 5 1
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Royal Vision 5 14 3 +11 13
2 Aigle Noir 6 11 8 +3 11
3 Rukinzo 4 9 1 +8 8
4 Muzinga 6 9 4 +5 13
5 Ngozi City 5 7 5 +2 9
6 Bumamuru 6 7 6 +1 7
7 Vital'O 5 7 10 -3 8
8 Olympic Star 6 6 5 +1 9
9 Le Messager Ngozi 4 4 1 +3 10
10 Flambeau du Centre 5 4 5 -1 5
11 Inter Star 4 4 6 -2 2
12 Kayanza United 6 3 4 -1 5
13 Musongati 5 3 7 -4 4
14 Never Give Up Academy 5 2 5 -3 4
15 Panthere Noir 4 2 5 -3 1
16 Young Star 6 2 19 -17 1
Ligue A Burundi. Ligue A Predictions