Statistics / Football / Burundi. Ligue A / Bumamuru vs Flambeau du Centre

Bumamuru vs Flambeau du Centre Statistics & Analysis

Bumamuru Bumamuru
Oct 04, 2026 - 13:00
0 1.21
1 1.39
xG Accuracy: 64%
Flambeau du Centre Flambeau du Centre
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Flambeau du Centre Flambeau du Centre ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 07, 2026 · 01:29 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-7435842

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Flambeau du Centre win · Bumamuru 0–1 Flambeau du Centre
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Ligue A
  • Fixture: Bumamuru vs Flambeau du Centre
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-13 13:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 31.0% · Draw 29.5% · Away 39.5%
  • xG (showing): Bumamuru 1.21 — Flambeau du Centre 1.39 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 10, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Ligue A Ligue A — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Royal Vision 5 4 1 0 13
2 Muzinga 5 3 1 1 10
3 Aigle Noir 5 3 1 1 10
4 Le Messager Ngozi 4 3 1 0 10
5 Ngozi City 5 3 0 2 9
6 Rukinzo 4 2 2 0 8
7 Vital'O 5 2 2 1 8
8 Bumamuru 6 2 1 3 7
9 Olympic Star 5 1 3 1 6
10 Flambeau du Centre 4 1 2 1 5
11 Kayanza United 5 0 4 1 4
12 Never Give Up Academy 4 1 1 2 4
13 Musongati 5 1 1 3 4
14 Inter Star 4 0 2 2 2
15 Panthere Noir 4 0 1 3 1
16 Young Star 6 0 1 5 1
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Royal Vision 5 14 3 +11 13
2 Aigle Noir 5 10 7 +3 10
3 Rukinzo 4 9 1 +8 8
4 Muzinga 5 7 3 +4 10
5 Ngozi City 5 7 5 +2 9
6 Bumamuru 6 7 6 +1 7
7 Vital'O 5 7 10 -3 8
8 Olympic Star 5 5 5 0 6
9 Le Messager Ngozi 4 4 1 +3 10
10 Inter Star 4 4 6 -2 2
11 Flambeau du Centre 4 3 3 0 5
12 Musongati 5 3 7 -4 4
13 Kayanza United 5 2 3 -1 4
14 Never Give Up Academy 4 2 4 -2 4
15 Panthere Noir 4 2 5 -3 1
16 Young Star 6 2 19 -17 1
Ligue A Burundi. Ligue A Predictions