Statistics / Football / Burundi. Ligue A / Royal Vision vs Vital'O

Royal Vision vs Vital'O Statistics & Analysis

Oct 04, 2026 - 13:00
5 1.32
0 1.28
xG Accuracy: 26%
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Royal Vision Royal Vision ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 5-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 03, 2026 · 07:49 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-6748361

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Royal Vision win · Royal Vision 5–0 Vital'O
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Ligue A
  • Fixture: Royal Vision vs Vital'O
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-09 13:45:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
  • xG (showing): Royal Vision 1.32 — Vital'O 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 10, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Ligue A Ligue A — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Royal Vision 5 4 1 0 13
2 Muzinga 5 3 1 1 10
3 Aigle Noir 5 3 1 1 10
4 Le Messager Ngozi 4 3 1 0 10
5 Ngozi City 5 3 0 2 9
6 Rukinzo 4 2 2 0 8
7 Vital'O 5 2 2 1 8
8 Bumamuru 6 2 1 3 7
9 Olympic Star 5 1 3 1 6
10 Flambeau du Centre 4 1 2 1 5
11 Kayanza United 5 0 4 1 4
12 Never Give Up Academy 4 1 1 2 4
13 Musongati 5 1 1 3 4
14 Inter Star 4 0 2 2 2
15 Panthere Noir 4 0 1 3 1
16 Young Star 6 0 1 5 1
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Royal Vision 5 14 3 +11 13
2 Aigle Noir 5 10 7 +3 10
3 Rukinzo 4 9 1 +8 8
4 Muzinga 5 7 3 +4 10
5 Ngozi City 5 7 5 +2 9
6 Bumamuru 6 7 6 +1 7
7 Vital'O 5 7 10 -3 8
8 Olympic Star 5 5 5 0 6
9 Le Messager Ngozi 4 4 1 +3 10
10 Inter Star 4 4 6 -2 2
11 Flambeau du Centre 4 3 3 0 5
12 Musongati 5 3 7 -4 4
13 Kayanza United 5 2 3 -1 4
14 Never Give Up Academy 4 2 4 -2 4
15 Panthere Noir 4 2 5 -3 1
16 Young Star 6 2 19 -17 1