Statistics / Football / Kosovo. Liga E Pare / KF Lepenci vs Tefik Canga

KF Lepenci vs Tefik Canga Statistics & Analysis

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KF Lepenci
Oct 03, 2026 - 12:00
2 1.32
1 1.28
xG Accuracy: 77%
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Tefik Canga
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 KF Lepenci KF Lepenci ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 03:01 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11248654

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result KF Lepenci win · KF Lepenci 2–1 Tefik Canga
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Liga E Pare
  • Fixture: KF Lepenci vs Tefik Canga
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-03 14:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
  • xG (showing): KF Lepenci 1.32 — Tefik Canga 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 04, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Liga E Pare Liga E Pare — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Dinamo Ferizaj 8 5 3 0 18
2 Liria Prizren 7 5 1 1 16
3 Prishtina e Re 8 5 0 3 15
4 Rilindja 1974 8 4 2 2 14
5 Trepça'89 8 3 4 1 13
6 Suhareka 8 3 3 2 12
7 2 Korriku 8 3 2 3 11
8 Trepça Mitrovicë 8 3 2 3 11
9 Ferizaj 8 2 4 2 10
10 Istogu 8 3 1 4 10
11 Vëllaznimi 8 3 1 4 10
12 Vjosa 8 2 3 3 9
13 Kika 8 1 6 1 9
14 Ramiz Sadiku 8 1 5 2 8
15 FC Besa Peja 8 2 2 4 8
16 KF Lepenci 8 1 4 3 7
17 Mitrovica 7 0 4 3 4
18 Tefik Canga 8 0 3 5 3
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Dinamo Ferizaj 8 16 4 +12 18
2 Suhareka 8 15 10 +5 12
3 Prishtina e Re 8 14 10 +4 15
4 Rilindja 1974 8 11 8 +3 14
5 Liria Prizren 7 9 4 +5 16
6 Ferizaj 8 9 5 +4 10
7 Vjosa 8 9 8 +1 9
8 Ramiz Sadiku 8 9 11 -2 8
9 Vëllaznimi 8 9 15 -6 10
10 Trepça'89 8 8 5 +3 13
11 Trepça Mitrovicë 8 7 12 -5 11
12 Istogu 8 7 12 -5 10
13 Tefik Canga 8 7 13 -6 3
14 2 Korriku 8 6 5 +1 11
15 FC Besa Peja 8 6 8 -2 8
16 KF Lepenci 8 6 10 -4 7
17 Mitrovica 7 5 11 -6 4
18 Kika 8 4 6 -2 9