Suhareka vs 2 Korriku Statistics & Analysis

Suhareka

Aug 29, 2026 - 14:30

2 1.34

1 1.26

xG Accuracy: 78%

2 Korriku

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Suhareka Suhareka ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 23, 2026 · 03:28 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-5146973

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Suhareka win · Suhareka 2–1 2 Korriku

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Liga E Pare
Fixture: Suhareka vs 2 Korriku
Kickoff: 2026-08-29 14:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 37.0% · Draw 29.6% · Away 33.4%
xG (showing): Suhareka 1.34 — 2 Korriku 1.26 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

Liga E Pare — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Liria Prizren	7	5	1	1	16
2	Dinamo Ferizaj	7	4	3	0	15
3	Prishtina e Re	7	5	0	2	15
4	Rilindja 1974	7	4	2	1	14
5	Trepça'89	7	3	4	0	13
6	Suhareka	7	3	2	2	11
7	Vëllaznimi	7	3	1	3	10
8	Ferizaj	7	2	3	2	9
9	2 Korriku	7	2	2	3	8
10	FC Besa Peja	7	2	2	3	8
11	Kika	7	1	5	1	8
12	Trepça Mitrovicë	7	2	2	3	8
13	Ramiz Sadiku	7	1	4	2	7
14	Istogu	7	2	1	4	7
15	Vjosa	7	1	3	3	6
16	KF Lepenci	7	0	4	3	4
17	Mitrovica	7	0	4	3	4
18	Tefik Canga	7	0	3	4	3

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Suhareka	7	15	10	+5	11
2	Dinamo Ferizaj	7	14	4	+10	15
3	Prishtina e Re	7	14	8	+6	15
4	Rilindja 1974	7	11	6	+5	14
5	Liria Prizren	7	9	4	+5	16
6	Ferizaj	7	9	5	+4	9
7	Ramiz Sadiku	7	9	11	-2	7
8	Vëllaznimi	7	9	14	-5	10
9	Trepça'89	7	8	4	+4	13
10	Vjosa	7	8	8	0	6
11	FC Besa Peja	7	6	7	-1	8
12	Tefik Canga	7	6	11	-5	3
13	Trepça Mitrovicë	7	6	12	-6	8
14	2 Korriku	7	5	5	0	8
15	Mitrovica	7	5	11	-6	4
16	Istogu	7	5	12	-7	7
17	Kika	7	4	6	-2	8
18	KF Lepenci	7	4	9	-5	4