Prishtina e Re vs Istogu Statistics & Analysis

Prishtina e Re

Aug 30, 2026 - 14:30

1 1.36

0 1.24

xG Accuracy: 64%

Istogu

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
1X2 Prishtina e Re Prishtina e Re ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-0 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 23, 2026 · 03:28 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-5146950

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Prishtina e Re win · Prishtina e Re 1–0 Istogu

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: Liga E Pare
Fixture: Prishtina e Re vs Istogu
Kickoff: 2026-08-29 14:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 38.0% · Draw 29.6% · Away 32.4%
xG (showing): Prishtina e Re 1.36 — Istogu 1.24 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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Liga E Pare — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Liria Prizren	7	5	1	1	16
2	Dinamo Ferizaj	7	4	3	0	15
3	Prishtina e Re	7	5	0	2	15
4	Rilindja 1974	7	4	2	1	14
5	Trepça'89	7	3	4	0	13
6	Suhareka	7	3	2	2	11
7	Vëllaznimi	7	3	1	3	10
8	Ferizaj	7	2	3	2	9
9	2 Korriku	7	2	2	3	8
10	FC Besa Peja	7	2	2	3	8
11	Kika	7	1	5	1	8
12	Trepça Mitrovicë	7	2	2	3	8
13	Ramiz Sadiku	7	1	4	2	7
14	Istogu	7	2	1	4	7
15	Vjosa	7	1	3	3	6
16	KF Lepenci	7	0	4	3	4
17	Mitrovica	7	0	4	3	4
18	Tefik Canga	7	0	3	4	3

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Suhareka	7	15	10	+5	11
2	Dinamo Ferizaj	7	14	4	+10	15
3	Prishtina e Re	7	14	8	+6	15
4	Rilindja 1974	7	11	6	+5	14
5	Liria Prizren	7	9	4	+5	16
6	Ferizaj	7	9	5	+4	9
7	Ramiz Sadiku	7	9	11	-2	7
8	Vëllaznimi	7	9	14	-5	10
9	Trepça'89	7	8	4	+4	13
10	Vjosa	7	8	8	0	6
11	FC Besa Peja	7	6	7	-1	8
12	Tefik Canga	7	6	11	-5	3
13	Trepça Mitrovicë	7	6	12	-6	8
14	2 Korriku	7	5	5	0	8
15	Mitrovica	7	5	11	-6	4
16	Istogu	7	5	12	-7	7
17	Kika	7	4	6	-2	8
18	KF Lepenci	7	4	9	-5	4