Al Ittihad W vs Al Nassr W Statistics & Analysis

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Al Ittihad W

Sep 19, 2026 - 17:30

4 1.32

2 1.28

xG Accuracy: 39%

Al Nassr W

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (6 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Al Ittihad W Al Ittihad W ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 4-2 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 03:24 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8706300

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Al Ittihad W win · Al Ittihad W 4–2 Al Nassr W

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Premier League Women
Fixture: Al Ittihad W vs Al Nassr W
Kickoff: 2026-09-19 17:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
xG (showing): Al Ittihad W 1.32 — Al Nassr W 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

Premier League Women — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Al Qadisiya W	3	3	0	0	9
2	Al Ittihad W	3	2	0	1	6
3	Al Nassr W	3	2	0	1	6
4	Al Ahli SC W	3	1	1	1	4
5	Al Hilal W	2	1	0	1	3
6	Al-Ula W	3	1	0	2	3
7	Neom SC W	3	0	1	2	1
8	Al Taraji W	2	0	0	2	0

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Al Qadisiya W	3	17	1	+16	9
2	Al Hilal W	2	10	3	+7	3
3	Al Ittihad W	3	8	5	+3	6
4	Al Nassr W	3	8	5	+3	6
5	Al Ahli SC W	3	6	11	-5	4
6	Al-Ula W	3	5	4	+1	3
7	Neom SC W	3	1	8	-7	1
8	Al Taraji W	2	1	19	-18	0