Statistics / Football / Denmark. DBU Pokalen / Skjold Sæby vs Espergærde

Skjold Sæby vs Espergærde Statistics & Analysis

Skjold Sæby Skjold Sæby
Aug 25, 2026 - 17:30
3 1.39
0 1.21
xG Accuracy: 46%
Espergærde Espergærde
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Skjold Sæby Skjold Sæby ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 3-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 19, 2026 · 02:27 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-4552140

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Skjold Sæby win · Skjold Sæby 3–0 Espergærde
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: DBU Pokalen
  • Fixture: Skjold Sæby vs Espergærde
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-25 17:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 39.5% · Draw 29.5% · Away 31.0%
  • xG (showing): Skjold Sæby 1.39 — Espergærde 1.21 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): BTTS No
  • Model: 45.7% · Implied: 34.8% · Probability edge: +10.9 pts · Est. EV: +25.7%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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