Statistics / Football / Spain. Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 / San Clemente vs Noblejas

San Clemente vs Noblejas Statistics & Analysis

San Clemente San Clemente
Sep 13, 2026 - 10:00
1 1.41
1 1.19
xG Accuracy: 85%
Noblejas Noblejas
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 San Clemente Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 0-0 1-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 07, 2026 · 01:02 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-7424603

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · San Clemente 1–1 Noblejas
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): +37.5%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
  • Fixture: San Clemente vs Noblejas
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-13 10:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 40.5% · Draw 29.4% · Away 30.1%
  • xG (showing): San Clemente 1.41 — Noblejas 1.19 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.2% · No 45.8%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.2% · No 45.8%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 15, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Manchego 2 2 0 0 6
2 Toledo 2 1 1 0 4
3 Marchamalo 1 1 0 0 3
4 Villacañas 2 1 0 1 3
5 Noblejas 1 1 0 0 3
6 Torrijos 1 1 0 0 3
7 Illescas 1 1 0 0 3
8 CD Villa 2 1 0 1 3
9 Villarrubia 2 0 2 0 2
10 San Clemente 1 0 1 0 1
11 Villarrobledo 1 0 1 0 1
12 Socuéllamos 1 0 1 0 1
13 Almansa 1 0 0 1 0
14 Tarancón 1 0 0 1 0
15 La Solana 1 0 0 1 0
16 Quintanar del Rey 1 0 0 1 0
17 Guadalajara II 2 0 0 2 0
18 Huracán Balazote 1 0 0 1 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Toledo 2 5 3 +2 4
2 Manchego 2 3 0 +3 6
3 Villacañas 2 3 2 +1 3
4 Noblejas 1 3 2 +1 3
5 Marchamalo 1 2 0 +2 3
6 Villarrubia 2 2 2 0 2
7 Almansa 1 2 3 -1 0
8 Quintanar del Rey 1 2 4 -2 0
9 Torrijos 1 1 0 +1 3
10 Illescas 1 1 0 +1 3
11 San Clemente 1 1 1 0 1
12 CD Villa 2 1 2 -1 3
13 Villarrobledo 1 0 0 0 1
14 Socuéllamos 1 0 0 0 1
15 Tarancón 1 0 1 -1 0
16 La Solana 1 0 1 -1 0
17 Guadalajara II 2 0 2 -2 0
18 Huracán Balazote 1 0 3 -3 0
Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 Spain. Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 Predictions