Statistics / Football / Spain. Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 / Binéfar vs CDJ Tamarite

Binéfar vs CDJ Tamarite Statistics & Analysis

Binéfar Binéfar
Sep 13, 2026 - 15:00
2 1.41
3 1.19
xG Accuracy: 52%
CDJ Tamarite CDJ Tamarite
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Binéfar CDJ Tamarite ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 0-0 2-3 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 07, 2026 · 01:56 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-7448534

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result CDJ Tamarite win · Binéfar 2–3 CDJ Tamarite
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Tercera División RFEF - Group 17
  • Fixture: Binéfar vs CDJ Tamarite
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-13 15:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 40.5% · Draw 29.4% · Away 30.1%
  • xG (showing): Binéfar 1.41 — CDJ Tamarite 1.19 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.2% · No 45.8%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.2% · No 45.8%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Brea 2 1 1 0 4
2 Épila 2 1 1 0 4
3 Caspe 1 1 0 0 3
4 Binéfar 1 1 0 0 3
5 Cuarte 1 1 0 0 3
6 Real Zaragoza II 1 1 0 0 3
7 Fraga 1 1 0 0 3
8 Almudévar 1 1 0 0 3
9 La Almunia 1 0 1 0 1
10 Huesca II 1 0 1 0 1
11 Belchite 97 1 0 1 0 1
12 Andorra CF 2 0 1 1 1
13 Robres 1 0 0 1 0
14 CDJ Tamarite 1 0 0 1 0
15 Ejea 1 0 0 1 0
16 CD Sietamo 1 0 0 1 0
17 Atlético Monzón 1 0 0 1 0
18 Illueca 2 0 0 2 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Brea 2 4 1 +3 4
2 Binéfar 1 4 2 +2 3
3 Caspe 1 3 0 +3 3
4 Épila 2 2 0 +2 4
5 Cuarte 1 2 0 +2 3
6 Real Zaragoza II 1 2 1 +1 3
7 Fraga 1 2 1 +1 3
8 La Almunia 1 2 2 0 1
9 Huesca II 1 2 2 0 1
10 Andorra CF 2 2 4 -2 1
11 Almudévar 1 1 0 +1 3
12 Belchite 97 1 1 1 0 1
13 Robres 1 1 2 -1 0
14 CDJ Tamarite 1 1 2 -1 0
15 Ejea 1 0 1 -1 0
16 CD Sietamo 1 0 2 -2 0
17 Atlético Monzón 1 0 3 -3 0
18 Illueca 2 0 5 -5 0
Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 Spain. Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 Predictions