Statistics / Football / Spain. Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 / Cortes vs Pamplona

Cortes vs Pamplona Statistics & Analysis

Cortes Cortes
Sep 26, 2026 - 14:00
0 1.14
0 1.46
xG Accuracy: 49%
Pamplona Pamplona
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (0 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Pamplona Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 1-0, 0-2 0-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 21, 2026 · 02:05 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-10104929

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Cortes 0–0 Pamplona
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Tercera División RFEF - Group 15
  • Fixture: Cortes vs Pamplona
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-26 14:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 27.9% · Draw 29.2% · Away 42.9%
  • xG (showing): Cortes 1.14 — Pamplona 1.46 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 53.8% · No 46.2%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 53.8% · No 46.2%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

Get Premium Predictions for Cortes & Pamplona!

Unlock in-depth analysis, exclusive betting tips, and match forecasts with our premium subscription service.

Subscribe Now
Back to Statistics
Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Izarra 4 4 0 0 12
2 Mutilvera 4 2 2 0 8
3 Gazte Berriak 4 2 1 1 7
4 Beti Kozkor 4 2 1 1 7
5 Aoiz 4 1 3 0 6
6 Doneztebe FT 4 1 2 1 5
7 Avance Ezcabarte 4 1 2 1 5
8 Txantrea 4 1 2 1 5
9 Subiza 3 1 1 1 4
10 San Juan 4 1 1 2 4
11 Beti Onak 4 0 4 0 4
12 Cortes 4 1 1 2 4
13 Huarte 4 0 3 1 3
14 Pamplona 4 0 3 1 3
15 Cantolagua 3 1 0 2 3
16 Valle Egüés 3 0 2 1 2
17 Cirbonero 3 0 2 1 2
18 Bidezarra 4 0 2 2 2
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Izarra 4 16 2 +14 12
2 Doneztebe FT 4 10 6 +4 5
3 Subiza 3 8 6 +2 4
4 San Juan 4 7 6 +1 4
5 Avance Ezcabarte 4 6 3 +3 5
6 Gazte Berriak 4 5 4 +1 7
7 Valle Egüés 3 5 8 -3 2
8 Aoiz 4 4 2 +2 6
9 Beti Onak 4 4 4 0 4
10 Huarte 4 4 5 -1 3
11 Txantrea 4 4 7 -3 5
12 Mutilvera 4 3 1 +2 8
13 Beti Kozkor 4 3 4 -1 7
14 Pamplona 4 2 3 -1 3
15 Cortes 4 2 6 -4 4
16 Cantolagua 3 2 8 -6 3
17 Bidezarra 4 2 8 -6 2
18 Cirbonero 3 1 5 -4 2
Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 Spain. Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 Predictions