Statistics / Football / Spain. Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 / Cotillas CD vs Atlético Pulpileño

Cotillas CD vs Atlético Pulpileño Statistics & Analysis

⚽
Cotillas CD
Sep 27, 2026 - 16:00
1 1.26
2 1.34
xG Accuracy: 78%
Atlético Pulpileño Atlético Pulpileño
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Atlético Pulpileño Atlético Pulpileño ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-2 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 21, 2026 · 02:10 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-10106630

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Atlético Pulpileño win · Cotillas CD 1–2 Atlético Pulpileño
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
  • Fixture: Cotillas CD vs Atlético Pulpileño
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-27 16:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 33.4% · Draw 29.6% · Away 37.0%
  • xG (showing): Cotillas CD 1.26 — Atlético Pulpileño 1.34 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

Get Premium Predictions for Cotillas CD & Atlético Pulpileño!

Unlock in-depth analysis, exclusive betting tips, and match forecasts with our premium subscription service.

Subscribe Now
Back to Statistics
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Santomera 3 2 1 0 7
2 San Javier 3 2 1 0 7
3 Bullas Deportivo 3 1 2 0 5
4 Alcantarilla 3 1 2 0 5
5 Atlético Pulpileño 3 1 2 0 5
6 Los Garres 3 1 2 0 5
7 Bala Azul 3 1 2 0 5
8 Santa Cruz 4 1 2 1 5
9 UCAM Murcia II 3 1 1 1 4
10 Unión Molinense 3 1 1 1 4
11 Olímpico Totana 3 1 1 1 4
12 Águilas II 4 0 4 0 4
13 SFC Minerva 3 1 1 1 4
14 Cotillas CD 3 1 1 1 4
15 Cartagena LU II 3 0 2 1 2
16 Mazarrón FC 3 0 1 2 1
17 Balsicas Atlético 3 0 0 3 0
18 Algar 3 0 0 3 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 UCAM Murcia II 3 7 4 +3 4
2 Santa Cruz 4 7 7 0 5
3 Santomera 3 6 3 +3 7
4 San Javier 3 6 4 +2 7
5 Unión Molinense 3 6 5 +1 4
6 Bullas Deportivo 3 4 1 +3 5
7 Los Garres 3 4 3 +1 5
8 Olímpico Totana 3 4 4 0 4
9 Águilas II 4 4 4 0 4
10 Cotillas CD 3 4 5 -1 4
11 Cartagena LU II 3 4 6 -2 2
12 Alcantarilla 3 3 1 +2 5
13 Bala Azul 3 3 2 +1 5
14 Mazarrón FC 3 3 5 -2 1
15 Atlético Pulpileño 3 2 0 +2 5
16 SFC Minerva 3 1 1 0 4
17 Balsicas Atlético 3 0 6 -6 0
18 Algar 3 0 7 -7 0