Statistics / Football / Spain. Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 / Tenerife C vs Anaza

Tenerife C vs Anaza Statistics & Analysis

Tenerife C Tenerife C
Sep 25, 2026 - 19:00
3 1.27
2 1.33
xG Accuracy: 52%
⚽
Anaza
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Anaza Tenerife C ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 3-2 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 21, 2026 · 02:29 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-10112753

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Tenerife C win · Tenerife C 3–2 Anaza
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
  • Fixture: Tenerife C vs Anaza
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-26 15:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 33.8% · Draw 29.6% · Away 36.6%
  • xG (showing): Tenerife C 1.27 — Anaza 1.33 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Las Palmas III 3 2 1 0 7
2 UD San Fernando 3 2 0 1 6
3 San Bartolomé 2 2 0 0 6
4 Real Unión de Tenerife 3 2 0 1 6
5 San Miguel 2 1 1 0 4
6 Marino 3 1 1 1 4
7 Estrella 3 1 1 1 4
8 Tenerife C 3 1 1 1 4
9 Los Llanos 3 1 1 1 4
10 Anaza 3 1 1 1 4
11 Villa Santa Brígida 3 1 1 1 4
12 Panadería Pulido 3 1 1 1 4
13 Mensajero 2 1 0 1 3
14 Unión Sur Yaiza 3 1 0 2 3
15 Lanzarote 2 0 2 0 2
16 Laguna de Duero 3 0 1 2 1
17 Villaverde Norte 3 0 1 2 1
18 Playas Sotavento 3 0 1 2 1
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 UD San Fernando 3 8 2 +6 6
2 Las Palmas III 3 7 3 +4 7
3 Marino 3 6 5 +1 4
4 Estrella 3 6 6 0 4
5 Tenerife C 3 6 6 0 4
6 San Bartolomé 2 5 2 +3 6
7 Panadería Pulido 3 5 6 -1 4
8 San Miguel 2 4 2 +2 4
9 Real Unión de Tenerife 3 4 3 +1 6
10 Los Llanos 3 4 4 0 4
11 Unión Sur Yaiza 3 4 5 -1 3
12 Anaza 3 3 3 0 4
13 Villa Santa Brígida 3 3 3 0 4
14 Laguna de Duero 3 3 7 -4 1
15 Lanzarote 2 2 2 0 2
16 Villaverde Norte 3 2 6 -4 1
17 Playas Sotavento 3 2 9 -7 1
18 Mensajero 2 1 1 0 3
Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 Spain. Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 Predictions