Statistics / Football / Spain. Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 / Betis C vs Egabrense

Betis C vs Egabrense Statistics & Analysis

⚽
Betis C
Oct 11, 2026 - 09:30
3 1.32
2 1.28
xG Accuracy: 52%
⚽
Egabrense
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Betis C Betis C ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 3-2 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 02:52 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13225660

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Betis C win · Betis C 3–2 Egabrense
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Tercera División RFEF - Group 10
  • Fixture: Betis C vs Egabrense
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-11 15:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
  • xG (showing): Betis C 1.32 — Egabrense 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 13, 2026 (UTC)

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Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Dos Hermanas 5 4 1 0 13
2 Utrera 5 4 0 1 12
3 Tomares 6 3 2 1 11
4 Betis C 5 3 1 1 10
5 Portuense 5 3 1 1 10
6 Pozoblanco 5 3 0 2 9
7 Egabrense 5 2 2 1 8
8 Chiclana 6 2 2 2 8
9 San Roque Lepe 5 2 1 2 7
10 Xerez Deportivo 5 2 1 2 7
11 Ceuta II 6 2 1 3 7
12 Linense 5 2 0 3 6
13 Conil 6 2 0 4 6
14 Cádiz II 5 1 2 2 5
15 Bollullos 6 1 2 3 5
16 Sevilla III 6 1 2 3 5
17 Recreativo Huelva 5 1 1 3 4
18 Córdoba II 5 0 1 4 1
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Dos Hermanas 5 13 2 +11 13
2 Betis C 5 11 6 +5 10
3 Egabrense 5 10 8 +2 8
4 Portuense 5 9 5 +4 10
5 Pozoblanco 5 8 4 +4 9
6 Tomares 6 8 6 +2 11
7 Linense 5 8 9 -1 6
8 Bollullos 6 8 10 -2 5
9 Utrera 5 7 5 +2 12
10 Chiclana 6 6 7 -1 8
11 Sevilla III 6 6 9 -3 5
12 Ceuta II 6 6 10 -4 7
13 Recreativo Huelva 5 6 10 -4 4
14 San Roque Lepe 5 5 6 -1 7
15 Xerez Deportivo 5 5 6 -1 7
16 Cádiz II 5 4 4 0 5
17 Conil 6 4 10 -6 6
18 Córdoba II 5 3 10 -7 1
Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 Spain. Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 Predictions