Statistics / Football / Spain. Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 / Las Rozas vs SS Reyes II

Las Rozas vs SS Reyes II Statistics & Analysis

Las Rozas Las Rozas
Oct 11, 2026 - 10:00
4 1.29
2 1.31
xG Accuracy: 39%
SS Reyes II SS Reyes II
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (6 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 SS Reyes II Las Rozas ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 4-2 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 01:15 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13192197

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Las Rozas win · Las Rozas 4–2 SS Reyes II
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
  • Fixture: Las Rozas vs SS Reyes II
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-11 10:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 34.7% · Draw 29.7% · Away 35.6%
  • xG (showing): Las Rozas 1.29 — SS Reyes II 1.31 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 43.2% · Probability edge: +8.6 pts · Est. EV: +15.5%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 15, 2026 (UTC)

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Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Las Rozas 6 4 1 1 13
2 Colonia Moscardó 6 3 3 0 12
3 Cala Pozuelo 6 4 0 2 12
4 Galapagar 6 3 2 1 11
5 Trival Valderas 6 3 2 1 11
6 Móstoles 6 3 2 1 11
7 Fuenlabrada 6 2 3 1 9
8 Unión Adarve 6 2 3 1 9
9 Pozuelo Alarcón 6 2 3 1 9
10 RC Alcobendas 6 2 2 2 8
11 Leganés II 6 2 1 3 7
12 Torrejón 6 2 1 3 7
13 Parla Escuela 6 1 3 2 6
14 Alcobendas Sport 6 1 2 3 5
15 Real Aranjuez 6 1 2 3 5
16 Rayo Vallecano II 6 1 1 4 4
17 Villanueva Pardillo 6 1 1 4 4
18 SS Reyes II 6 1 0 5 3
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Colonia Moscardó 6 15 6 +9 12
2 Las Rozas 6 15 8 +7 13
3 Galapagar 6 13 10 +3 11
4 RC Alcobendas 6 12 11 +1 8
5 Leganés II 6 11 9 +2 7
6 Pozuelo Alarcón 6 11 13 -2 9
7 Cala Pozuelo 6 10 8 +2 12
8 Real Aranjuez 6 10 14 -4 5
9 Fuenlabrada 6 9 8 +1 9
10 Parla Escuela 6 9 10 -1 6
11 SS Reyes II 6 9 17 -8 3
12 Trival Valderas 6 8 5 +3 11
13 Unión Adarve 6 8 9 -1 9
14 Móstoles 6 7 4 +3 11
15 Torrejón 6 7 6 +1 7
16 Alcobendas Sport 6 7 9 -2 5
17 Rayo Vallecano II 6 7 13 -6 4
18 Villanueva Pardillo 6 6 14 -8 4
Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 Spain. Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 Predictions