Statistics / Football / Spain. Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 / Alcobendas Sport vs Parla Escuela

Alcobendas Sport vs Parla Escuela Statistics & Analysis

Alcobendas Sport Alcobendas Sport
Oct 03, 2026 - 15:00
1 1.29
0 1.31
xG Accuracy: 64%
Parla Escuela Parla Escuela
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Parla Escuela Alcobendas Sport ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-0 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 29, 2026 · 02:22 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11683991

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Alcobendas Sport win · Alcobendas Sport 1–0 Parla Escuela
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
  • Fixture: Alcobendas Sport vs Parla Escuela
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-03 15:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 34.7% · Draw 29.7% · Away 35.6%
  • xG (showing): Alcobendas Sport 1.29 — Parla Escuela 1.31 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Over 2.5 goals
  • Model: 48.2% · Implied: 45.8% · Probability edge: +2.4 pts · Est. EV: +3.6%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 07, 2026 (UTC)

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Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Móstoles 4 3 1 0 10
2 Colonia Moscardó 4 2 2 0 8
3 Galapagar 4 2 2 0 8
4 Trival Valderas 4 2 2 0 8
5 Las Rozas 3 2 1 0 7
6 Leganés II 4 2 0 2 6
7 Unión Adarve 4 1 3 0 6
8 Pozuelo Alarcón 4 1 3 0 6
9 Cala Pozuelo 4 2 0 2 6
10 RC Alcobendas 3 1 2 0 5
11 Fuenlabrada 4 1 2 1 5
12 Parla Escuela 5 1 2 2 5
13 Alcobendas Sport 5 1 2 2 5
14 Torrejón 4 1 0 3 3
15 SS Reyes II 4 1 0 3 3
16 Villanueva Pardillo 4 1 0 3 3
17 Rayo Vallecano II 4 0 1 3 1
18 Real Aranjuez 4 0 1 3 1
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Colonia Moscardó 4 9 4 +5 8
2 Galapagar 4 9 5 +4 8
3 Leganés II 4 8 5 +3 6
4 Las Rozas 3 7 4 +3 7
5 RC Alcobendas 3 7 4 +3 5
6 Parla Escuela 5 7 8 -1 5
7 Trival Valderas 4 6 3 +3 8
8 Unión Adarve 4 6 4 +2 6
9 Pozuelo Alarcón 4 6 5 +1 6
10 Fuenlabrada 4 6 6 0 5
11 Móstoles 4 5 1 +4 10
12 Cala Pozuelo 4 5 6 -1 6
13 Villanueva Pardillo 4 5 12 -7 3
14 Alcobendas Sport 5 4 5 -1 5
15 SS Reyes II 4 4 8 -4 3
16 Rayo Vallecano II 4 4 9 -5 1
17 Real Aranjuez 4 4 10 -6 1
18 Torrejón 4 2 5 -3 3
Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 Spain. Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 Predictions