Statistics / Football / Spain. Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 / SC Torrevieja vs Saguntino

SC Torrevieja vs Saguntino Statistics & Analysis

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SC Torrevieja
Oct 11, 2026 - 09:30
2 1.18
2 1.42
xG Accuracy: 68%
Saguntino Saguntino
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Saguntino Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 1-0, 0-2 2-2 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 01:09 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13190106

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · SC Torrevieja 2–2 Saguntino
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Tercera División RFEF - Group 6
  • Fixture: SC Torrevieja vs Saguntino
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-11 09:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 29.6% · Draw 29.4% · Away 41.0%
  • xG (showing): SC Torrevieja 1.18 — Saguntino 1.42 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 12, 2026 (UTC)

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Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Villarreal III 6 5 0 1 15
2 Vall de Uxó 5 3 2 0 11
3 Hércules II 6 3 2 1 11
4 Levante II 5 3 1 1 10
5 Torrent 6 3 1 2 10
6 Crevillente 5 2 3 0 9
7 Roda 6 2 3 1 9
8 Eldense B 5 2 2 1 8
9 Acero 6 1 4 1 7
10 Saguntino 5 2 1 2 7
11 Ontinyent 1931 6 2 0 4 6
12 SC Torrevieja 5 2 0 3 6
13 Jove Español 6 1 3 2 6
14 Atzeneta 6 0 5 1 5
15 Buñol 6 1 2 3 5
16 Soneja 5 1 1 3 4
17 Utiel 6 0 3 3 3
18 Torrellano 5 0 1 4 1
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Villarreal III 6 11 5 +6 15
2 Hércules II 6 9 6 +3 11
3 Torrent 6 9 6 +3 10
4 Crevillente 5 9 7 +2 9
5 Vall de Uxó 5 8 2 +6 11
6 Levante II 5 8 2 +6 10
7 Roda 6 8 6 +2 9
8 Ontinyent 1931 6 8 9 -1 6
9 Saguntino 5 7 7 0 7
10 Jove Español 6 7 11 -4 6
11 Acero 6 6 5 +1 7
12 Eldense B 5 5 3 +2 8
13 Atzeneta 6 5 6 -1 5
14 Soneja 5 5 9 -4 4
15 SC Torrevieja 5 4 7 -3 6
16 Buñol 6 4 9 -5 5
17 Utiel 6 4 10 -6 3
18 Torrellano 5 3 10 -7 1
Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 Spain. Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 Predictions