Statistics / Football / Spain. Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 / Soneja vs Jove Español

Soneja vs Jove Español Statistics & Analysis

Soneja Soneja
Oct 03, 2026 - 14:00
1 1.36
2 1.24
xG Accuracy: 74%
Jove Español Jove Español
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Soneja Jove Español ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-2 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 02:48 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11245352

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Jove Español win · Soneja 1–2 Jove Español
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Tercera División RFEF - Group 6
  • Fixture: Soneja vs Jove Español
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-03 14:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 38.0% · Draw 29.6% · Away 32.4%
  • xG (showing): Soneja 1.36 — Jove Español 1.24 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 07, 2026 (UTC)

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Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Vall de Uxó 4 3 1 0 10
2 Villarreal III 4 3 0 1 9
3 Hércules II 5 2 2 1 8
4 Roda 5 2 2 1 8
5 Eldense B 5 2 2 1 8
6 Torrent 4 2 1 1 7
7 Levante II 4 2 1 1 7
8 Crevillente 4 1 3 0 6
9 Acero 5 1 3 1 6
10 Ontinyent 1931 4 2 0 2 6
11 SC Torrevieja 5 2 0 3 6
12 Buñol 4 1 2 1 5
13 Jove Español 5 1 2 2 5
14 Saguntino 4 1 1 2 4
15 Soneja 5 1 1 3 4
16 Atzeneta 4 0 3 1 3
17 Utiel 4 0 3 1 3
18 Torrellano 5 0 1 4 1
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Torrent 4 8 5 +3 7
2 Hércules II 5 8 6 +2 8
3 Vall de Uxó 4 7 1 +6 10
4 Roda 5 7 5 +2 8
5 Villarreal III 4 6 3 +3 9
6 Crevillente 4 6 5 +1 6
7 Jove Español 5 6 10 -4 5
8 Levante II 4 5 2 +3 7
9 Eldense B 5 5 3 +2 8
10 Acero 5 5 4 +1 6
11 Ontinyent 1931 4 5 4 +1 6
12 Soneja 5 5 9 -4 4
13 Saguntino 4 4 5 -1 4
14 SC Torrevieja 5 4 7 -3 6
15 Atzeneta 4 3 4 -1 3
16 Buñol 4 3 5 -2 5
17 Torrellano 5 3 10 -7 1
18 Utiel 4 2 4 -2 3
Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 Spain. Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 Predictions