Statistics / Football / Spain. Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 / Roda vs SC Torrevieja

Roda vs SC Torrevieja Statistics & Analysis

Roda Roda
Oct 03, 2026 - 15:00
2 1.29
0 1.31
xG Accuracy: 57%
⚽
SC Torrevieja
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 SC Torrevieja Roda ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 2-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 03:10 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11250508

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Roda win · Roda 2–0 SC Torrevieja
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Tercera División RFEF - Group 6
  • Fixture: Roda vs SC Torrevieja
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-03 15:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 34.7% · Draw 29.7% · Away 35.6%
  • xG (showing): Roda 1.29 — SC Torrevieja 1.31 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 05, 2026 (UTC)

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Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Vall de Uxó 4 3 1 0 10
2 Villarreal III 4 3 0 1 9
3 Hércules II 5 2 2 1 8
4 Roda 5 2 2 1 8
5 Eldense B 5 2 2 1 8
6 Torrent 4 2 1 1 7
7 Levante II 4 2 1 1 7
8 Crevillente 4 1 3 0 6
9 Acero 5 1 3 1 6
10 Ontinyent 1931 4 2 0 2 6
11 SC Torrevieja 5 2 0 3 6
12 Buñol 4 1 2 1 5
13 Jove Español 5 1 2 2 5
14 Saguntino 4 1 1 2 4
15 Soneja 5 1 1 3 4
16 Atzeneta 4 0 3 1 3
17 Utiel 4 0 3 1 3
18 Torrellano 5 0 1 4 1
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Torrent 4 8 5 +3 7
2 Hércules II 5 8 6 +2 8
3 Vall de Uxó 4 7 1 +6 10
4 Roda 5 7 5 +2 8
5 Villarreal III 4 6 3 +3 9
6 Crevillente 4 6 5 +1 6
7 Jove Español 5 6 10 -4 5
8 Levante II 4 5 2 +3 7
9 Eldense B 5 5 3 +2 8
10 Acero 5 5 4 +1 6
11 Ontinyent 1931 4 5 4 +1 6
12 Soneja 5 5 9 -4 4
13 Saguntino 4 4 5 -1 4
14 SC Torrevieja 5 4 7 -3 6
15 Atzeneta 4 3 4 -1 3
16 Buñol 4 3 5 -2 5
17 Torrellano 5 3 10 -7 1
18 Utiel 4 2 4 -2 3
Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 Spain. Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 Predictions