Statistics / Football / Spain. Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 / Sporting Gijón II vs Langreo

Sporting Gijón II vs Langreo Statistics & Analysis

Sporting Gijón II Sporting Gijón II
Oct 04, 2026 - 10:00
1 1.54
1 1.06
xG Accuracy: 85%
Langreo Langreo
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Sporting Gijón II Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 2-0, 0-1 1-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 29, 2026 · 01:01 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11660647

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Sporting Gijón II 1–1 Langreo
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Tercera División RFEF - Group 2
  • Fixture: Sporting Gijón II vs Langreo
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-04 10:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 46.8% · Draw 28.7% · Away 24.6%
  • xG (showing): Sporting Gijón II 1.54 — Langreo 1.06 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV on tracked lines at current best prices (same as the decision block: no default bet).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 52.9% · No 47.1%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 52.9% · No 47.1%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.1%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 10, 2026 (UTC)

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Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Sporting Gijón II 4 4 0 0 12
2 Covadonga 4 3 1 0 10
3 Mosconia 4 3 1 0 10
4 Condal 4 3 1 0 10
5 Colunga 5 3 1 1 10
6 Siero 4 3 0 1 9
7 Caudal 4 3 0 1 9
8 Langreo 4 2 1 1 7
9 San Martín 5 1 2 2 5
10 Gijón Industrial 4 1 1 2 4
11 Lealtad 4 1 1 2 4
12 L'Entregu 5 1 1 3 4
13 Praviano 4 1 0 3 3
14 Ceares 5 1 0 4 3
15 Avilés Stadium 4 1 0 3 3
16 Llanes 4 0 2 2 2
17 Andes 4 0 1 3 1
18 Astur 4 0 1 3 1
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Covadonga 4 12 3 +9 10
2 Colunga 5 9 7 +2 10
3 Langreo 4 9 7 +2 7
4 Mosconia 4 8 1 +7 10
5 Sporting Gijón II 4 8 3 +5 12
6 Condal 4 7 1 +6 10
7 Caudal 4 7 5 +2 9
8 Ceares 5 7 11 -4 3
9 Siero 4 5 1 +4 9
10 Gijón Industrial 4 5 6 -1 4
11 Praviano 4 5 7 -2 3
12 San Martín 5 5 10 -5 5
13 Llanes 4 5 11 -6 2
14 Lealtad 4 3 4 -1 4
15 Astur 4 3 8 -5 1
16 L'Entregu 5 2 6 -4 4
17 Andes 4 2 6 -4 1
18 Avilés Stadium 4 2 7 -5 3
Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 Spain. Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 Predictions