Statistics / Football / Romania. Cupa României / Agricola Borcea vs Unirea Slobozia

Agricola Borcea vs Unirea Slobozia Statistics & Analysis

Agricola Borcea Agricola Borcea
Aug 12, 2026 - 14:30
1 1.40
4 1.20
xG Accuracy: 42%
Unirea Slobozia Unirea Slobozia
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Agricola Borcea Unirea Slobozia ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-4 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 08, 2026 · 00:34 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-3222813

Closing Odds 1.58
AI Fair Odds —
CLV +0.0%
Final Result Unirea Slobozia win · Agricola Borcea 1–4 Unirea Slobozia
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Market intelligence

Supporting read on how the prioritized closing feed moved versus the model — use after the Primary pick above.

Market briefing

The largest late implied swing on this feed was about 6.12 percentage points on Unirea Slobozia (1X2) between PRE30 and PRE1.

The model still exceeds closing implied on Agricola Borcea (1X2) by about 16.4 percentage points — the clearest mispricing signal summarized on this page.

Model vs. closing implied

Market Model % Closing impl. % Gap (pp)
Agricola Borcea (1X2) 40.0 23.6 +16.4
Draw (1X2) 29.5 20.4 +9.1
Unirea Slobozia (1X2) 30.6 56.1 -25.5
Over 2.5 goals 48.2 60.4 -12.2
Under 2.5 goals 51.8 39.6 +12.2
What this means

In plain terms: the model lands near 40.0% on Agricola Borcea (1X2), while the closing snapshot implied about 23.6%. The difference — about 16.4 percentage points — is the largest model-vs.-market gap highlighted on this page.

Quick definitions: “closing implied” is the probability for that outcome implied by the final captured odds (after a simple de-vig). “Gap (pp)” is the model percentage minus that implied value, in percentage points (pp).

Closing-window line move

Single prioritized bookmaker per snapshot (not all books). Capture path: PRE30 → PRE1 · Book: Bet365 → Pinnacle

Column tags in parentheses: Closing uses the first available snapshot in PRE1→PRE5→PRE10→PRE30; Early uses the first available in PRE30→PRE10→PRE5 that is not the same capture as Closing.

Early and closing snapshots used different bookmakers — interpret movement with care.
Market Early (PRE30) Closing (PRE1) Implied Δ (pp)
Agricola Borcea (1X2) 5.0 3.76 +5.7
Draw (1X2) 4.5 4.35 +0.5
Unirea Slobozia (1X2) 1.44 1.58 -6.1
Over 2.5 goals 1.53 1.51 -0.5
Under 2.5 goals 2.38 2.3 +0.5

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Cupa României
  • Fixture: Agricola Borcea vs Unirea Slobozia
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-12 14:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 40.0% · Draw 29.5% · Away 30.6%
  • xG (showing): Agricola Borcea 1.4 — Unirea Slobozia 1.2 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 40.2% · Probability edge: +11.6 pts · Est. EV: +24.3%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: Wait - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

Get Premium Predictions for Agricola Borcea & Unirea Slobozia!

Unlock in-depth analysis, exclusive betting tips, and match forecasts with our premium subscription service.

Subscribe Now
Back to Statistics