Statistics / Football / Egypt. Premier League / Zamalek SC vs Al Ahly

Zamalek SC vs Al Ahly Statistics & Analysis

Oct 11, 2026 - 17:00
0 0.98
2 1.60
xG Accuracy: 68%
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Al Ahly Al Ahly ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 0-1, 1-1, 0-2, 1-2, 0-0 0-2 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 03:14 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13232856

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Al Ahly win · Zamalek SC 0–2 Al Ahly
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Premier League
  • Fixture: Zamalek SC vs Al Ahly
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-11 17:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 21.6% · Draw 28.1% · Away 50.3%
  • xG (showing): Zamalek SC 0.98 — Al Ahly 1.6 (total xG ≈ 2.58)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Over 2.5 goals
  • Model: 47.6% · Implied: 44.0% · Probability edge: +3.6 pts · Est. EV: +5.7%
  • BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
  • Correct score (top bin): N/A

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 14, 2026 (UTC)

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Premier League Premier League — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Pyramids FC 5 5 0 0 15
2 Zamalek SC 5 4 1 0 13
3 Al Ahly 5 4 1 0 13
4 Ceramica Cleopatra 5 4 0 1 12
5 Future FC 5 3 1 1 10
6 Al Ittihad 5 3 1 1 10
7 El Mokawloon 5 2 1 2 7
8 Petrojet 5 2 1 2 7
9 El Geish 5 2 1 2 7
10 Masr 5 2 1 2 7
11 Olympic El Qanah 5 1 3 1 6
12 AL Masry 5 2 0 3 6
13 National Bank of Egypt 5 2 0 3 6
14 Wadi Degla 5 1 2 2 5
15 Enppi 5 1 1 3 4
16 Smouha SC 5 1 1 3 4
17 Abu Qair Semad 5 1 0 4 3
18 El Gouna FC 5 0 2 3 2
19 Asyut Petrol 5 0 2 3 2
20 Ghazl El Mehalla 5 0 1 4 1
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Ceramica Cleopatra 5 10 3 +7 12
2 Pyramids FC 5 9 1 +8 15
3 Al Ahly 5 9 3 +6 13
4 Zamalek SC 5 8 1 +7 13
5 Petrojet 5 8 8 0 7
6 Future FC 5 7 4 +3 10
7 Al Ittihad 5 6 3 +3 10
8 El Mokawloon 5 6 5 +1 7
9 Enppi 5 6 9 -3 4
10 El Geish 5 5 5 0 7
11 Olympic El Qanah 5 5 5 0 6
12 AL Masry 5 5 7 -2 6
13 Masr 5 4 5 -1 7
14 Wadi Degla 5 4 5 -1 5
15 National Bank of Egypt 5 4 7 -3 6
16 El Gouna FC 5 3 6 -3 2
17 Smouha SC 5 1 4 -3 4
18 Asyut Petrol 5 1 5 -4 2
19 Abu Qair Semad 5 1 8 -7 3
20 Ghazl El Mehalla 5 1 9 -8 1
# TEAM MP xG xGC +/- PTS
1 Pyramids FC 5 6.5 1.7 +4.8 15
2 AL Masry 5 7.3 4.3 +3.0 6
3 Petrojet 5 7.6 4.8 +2.8 7
4 Al Ittihad 5 5.8 4.0 +1.8 10
5 Al Ahly 5 5.0 3.6 +1.4 13
6 Future FC 5 6.9 5.7 +1.2 10
7 El Geish 5 4.5 3.5 +1.0 7
8 Smouha SC 5 3.1 2.2 +0.9 4
9 Masr 5 4.6 4.1 +0.5 7
10 National Bank of Egypt 5 4.4 4.0 +0.4 6
11 Ceramica Cleopatra 5 6.2 5.9 +0.3 12
12 Asyut Petrol 5 2.6 2.8 -0.2 2
13 Abu Qair Semad 5 1.9 2.5 -0.6 3
14 Wadi Degla 5 4.8 5.6 -0.8 5
15 Enppi 5 6.1 8.0 -1.9 4
16 El Mokawloon 5 3.8 5.9 -2.1 7
17 Zamalek SC 5 3.2 5.8 -2.6 13
18 Olympic El Qanah 5 4.0 7.0 -3.0 6
19 El Gouna FC 5 3.6 6.9 -3.3 2
20 Ghazl El Mehalla 5 2.2 5.9 -3.7 1