Statistics / Football / Ukraine. U19 League / Metalist 1925 U19 vs Zhytomyr U19

Metalist 1925 U19 vs Zhytomyr U19 Statistics & Analysis

Metalist 1925 U19 Metalist 1925 U19
Sep 16, 2026 - 08:00
1 1.30
2 1.30
xG Accuracy: 76%
Zhytomyr U19 Zhytomyr U19
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Metalist 1925 U19 Zhytomyr U19 ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-2 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 10, 2026 · 01:50 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-7845520

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Zhytomyr U19 win · Metalist 1925 U19 1–2 Zhytomyr U19
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: U19 League
  • Fixture: Metalist 1925 U19 vs Zhytomyr U19
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-16 10:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 35.2% · Draw 29.6% · Away 35.2%
  • xG (showing): Metalist 1925 U19 1.3 — Zhytomyr U19 1.3 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

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U19 League U19 League — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Rukh Vynnyky U19 7 7 0 0 21
2 Dynamo Kyiv U19 8 5 1 2 16
3 Karpaty Lviv U19 8 5 0 3 15
4 Livyi Bereh U19 7 4 2 1 14
5 LNZ Cherkasy U19 8 4 1 3 13
6 Zhytomyr U19 8 4 0 4 12
7 Shakhtar Donetsk U19 7 3 1 3 10
8 Oleksandria U19 8 3 1 4 10
9 Veres Rivne U19 7 2 3 2 9
10 Obolon' Kyiv U19 8 2 2 4 8
11 SK Metalurh U19 8 2 2 4 8
12 Metalist 1925 U19 8 2 1 5 7
13 Lviv U19 8 2 0 6 6
14 Kolos Kovalivka U19 8 2 0 6 6
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Rukh Vynnyky U19 7 27 3 +24 21
2 Dynamo Kyiv U19 8 18 8 +10 16
3 Karpaty Lviv U19 8 18 11 +7 15
4 Livyi Bereh U19 7 12 8 +4 14
5 LNZ Cherkasy U19 8 11 10 +1 13
6 SK Metalurh U19 8 11 18 -7 8
7 Oleksandria U19 8 10 15 -5 10
8 Kolos Kovalivka U19 8 10 19 -9 6
9 Zhytomyr U19 8 9 10 -1 12
10 Shakhtar Donetsk U19 7 9 10 -1 10
11 Veres Rivne U19 7 8 9 -1 9
12 Metalist 1925 U19 8 8 17 -9 7
13 Lviv U19 8 7 15 -8 6
14 Obolon' Kyiv U19 8 6 11 -5 8
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