RWDM U21 vs Westerlo U21 Statistics & Analysis

RWDM U21

Sep 18, 2026 - 18:00

0 1.26

3 1.34

xG Accuracy: 45%

Westerlo U21

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
1X2 Westerlo U21 Westerlo U21 ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-3 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 12, 2026 · 02:27 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8226260

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Westerlo U21 win · RWDM U21 0–3 Westerlo U21

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Reserve Pro League
Fixture: RWDM U21 vs Westerlo U21
Kickoff: 2026-09-18 18:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 33.4% · Draw 29.6% · Away 37.0%
xG (showing): RWDM U21 1.26 — Westerlo U21 1.34 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 27, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

Reserve Pro League — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Waasland-Beveren U21	4	3	0	1	9
2	RWDM U21	4	2	1	1	7
3	RAAL La Louviere U21	4	2	1	1	7
4	Westerlo U21	3	2	0	1	6
5	RFC Seraing Reserve U21	3	2	0	1	6
6	Kortrijk U21	3	2	0	1	6
7	K. Beerschot V.A. Reserve U21	3	1	0	2	3
8	Francs Borains U21	3	1	0	2	3
9	RFC de Liege U21	3	1	0	2	3
10	Sp. Hasselt U21	3	0	1	2	1
11	Lierse K. U21	3	0	1	2	1

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Waasland-Beveren U21	4	16	6	+10	9
2	Westerlo U21	3	8	5	+3	6
3	Francs Borains U21	3	7	9	-2	3
4	RFC Seraing Reserve U21	3	6	4	+2	6
5	RAAL La Louviere U21	4	6	8	-2	7
6	RWDM U21	4	5	5	0	7
7	Kortrijk U21	3	4	2	+2	6
8	K. Beerschot V.A. Reserve U21	3	4	2	+2	3
9	Lierse K. U21	3	3	8	-5	1
10	Sp. Hasselt U21	3	2	6	-4	1
11	RFC de Liege U21	3	2	8	-6	3