Statistics / Football / Algeria. Ligue 1 / MC Oran vs ES Setif

MC Oran vs ES Setif Statistics & Analysis

MC Oran MC Oran
Oct 08, 2026 - 19:00
0 1.39
0 1.21
xG Accuracy: 49%
ES Setif ES Setif
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (0 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 MC Oran Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 02:53 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8699381

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · MC Oran 0–0 ES Setif
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Ligue 1
  • Fixture: MC Oran vs ES Setif
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-19 15:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 39.5% · Draw 29.5% · Away 31.0%
  • xG (showing): MC Oran 1.39 — ES Setif 1.21 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): BTTS Yes
  • Model: 54.3% · Implied: 40.4% · Probability edge: +13.9 pts · Est. EV: +29.2%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 10, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Ligue 1 Ligue 1 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 USM Alger 3 2 1 0 7
2 CR Belouizdad 3 2 1 0 7
3 MC Oran 2 2 0 0 6
4 Ben Aknoun 3 1 2 0 5
5 CS Constantine 3 1 1 1 4
6 Témouchent 3 1 1 1 4
7 ES Setif 3 1 0 2 3
8 MC Alger 1 1 0 0 3
9 JS El Biar 3 1 0 2 3
10 JS Kabylie 2 1 0 1 3
11 Oued Akbou 3 1 0 2 3
12 MB Rouisset 3 1 0 2 3
13 Khenchela 2 0 2 0 2
14 US Biskra 3 0 2 1 2
15 ASO Chlef 3 0 1 2 1
16 JS Saoura 2 0 1 1 1
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 USM Alger 3 5 2 +3 7
2 CR Belouizdad 3 5 3 +2 7
3 ES Setif 3 5 3 +2 3
4 CS Constantine 3 5 6 -1 4
5 Ben Aknoun 3 4 3 +1 5
6 JS El Biar 3 4 4 0 3
7 Oued Akbou 3 4 5 -1 3
8 MC Oran 2 3 0 +3 6
9 ASO Chlef 3 3 7 -4 1
10 MC Alger 1 2 0 +2 3
11 Témouchent 3 2 3 -1 4
12 MB Rouisset 3 2 3 -1 3
13 US Biskra 3 2 3 -1 2
14 JS Kabylie 2 1 1 0 3
15 Khenchela 2 1 1 0 2
16 JS Saoura 2 0 4 -4 1
Ligue 1 Algeria. Ligue 1 Predictions