Statistics / Football / Indonesia. Piala Presiden / Persib Bandung vs Persebaya Surabaya

Persib Bandung vs Persebaya Surabaya Statistics & Analysis

Persib Bandung Persib Bandung
Aug 06, 2026 - 13:00
1(5) 1.30
1(6) 1.30
xG Accuracy: 85%
Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Persib Bandung Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 06, 2026 · 01:08 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-3091488

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Persib Bandung 1–1 Persebaya Surabaya
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Piala Presiden
  • Fixture: Persib Bandung vs Persebaya Surabaya
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-06 13:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 35.2% · Draw 29.6% · Away 35.2%
  • xG (showing): Persib Bandung 1.3 — Persebaya Surabaya 1.3 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 43.4% · Probability edge: +8.4 pts · Est. EV: +21.7%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

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Piala Presiden Piala Presiden — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Persib Bandung 3 3 0 0 9
2 Arema FC 3 2 0 1 6
3 Tampines Rovers 3 0 1 2 1
4 DPMM FC 3 0 1 2 1
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Arema FC 3 4 2 +2 6
2 Persib Bandung 3 3 0 +3 9
3 Tampines Rovers 3 3 5 -2 1
4 DPMM FC 3 2 5 -3 1