Statistics / Football / Bosnia. 1st League - FBiH / Rudar Kakanj vs Vitez

Rudar Kakanj vs Vitez Statistics & Analysis

Rudar Kakanj Rudar Kakanj
Oct 03, 2026 - 13:00
2 1.38
0 1.22
xG Accuracy: 60%
Vitez Vitez
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Rudar Kakanj Rudar Kakanj ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 02:07 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11235131

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Rudar Kakanj win · Rudar Kakanj 2–0 Vitez
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: 1st League - FBiH
  • Fixture: Rudar Kakanj vs Vitez
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-03 13:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 39.0% · Draw 29.5% · Away 31.5%
  • xG (showing): Rudar Kakanj 1.38 — Vitez 1.22 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 04, 2026 (UTC)

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1st League - FBiH 1st League - FBiH — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Travnik 7 7 0 0 21
2 Stupčanica Olovo 7 5 0 2 15
3 GOŠK Gabela 7 5 0 2 15
4 Posušje 7 4 3 0 15
5 Sloboda Tuzla 7 4 2 1 14
6 Igman Konjic 7 3 3 1 12
7 Jedinstvo Bihać 7 2 3 2 9
8 TOŠK Tešanj 7 3 0 4 9
9 Bratstvo Gračanica 7 1 5 1 8
10 Zvijezda Gradačac 7 2 1 4 7
11 Vitez 7 1 3 3 6
12 Budućnost Banovići 7 1 3 3 6
13 Tomislav 7 1 2 4 5
14 Radnik Hadžići 7 1 1 5 4
15 Rudar Kakanj 7 1 1 5 4
16 Čapljina 7 1 1 5 4
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Stupčanica Olovo 7 18 6 +12 15
2 Sloboda Tuzla 7 15 6 +9 14
3 Jedinstvo Bihać 7 15 9 +6 9
4 Travnik 7 14 3 +11 21
5 GOŠK Gabela 7 10 4 +6 15
6 Posušje 7 9 5 +4 15
7 Igman Konjic 7 9 6 +3 12
8 Bratstvo Gračanica 7 9 9 0 8
9 Budućnost Banovići 7 8 16 -8 6
10 Tomislav 7 8 19 -11 5
11 TOŠK Tešanj 7 7 9 -2 9
12 Zvijezda Gradačac 7 6 6 0 7
13 Vitez 7 5 9 -4 6
14 Čapljina 7 5 16 -11 4
15 Radnik Hadžići 7 3 9 -6 4
16 Rudar Kakanj 7 3 12 -9 4