Posušje vs GOŠK Gabela Statistics & Analysis

Posušje

Sep 20, 2026 - 16:00

1 1.26

0 1.34

xG Accuracy: 64%

GOŠK Gabela

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
1X2 GOŠK Gabela Posušje ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-0 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 01:51 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8678026

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Posušje win · Posušje 1–0 GOŠK Gabela

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: 1st League - FBiH
Fixture: Posušje vs GOŠK Gabela
Kickoff: 2026-09-20 13:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 33.4% · Draw 29.6% · Away 37.0%
xG (showing): Posušje 1.26 — GOŠK Gabela 1.34 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Over 2.5 goals
Model: 48.2% · Implied: 42.3% · Probability edge: +5.9 pts · Est. EV: +8.5%
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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1st League - FBiH — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Travnik	6	6	0	0	18
2	Stupčanica Olovo	6	5	0	1	15
3	GOŠK Gabela	6	5	0	1	15
4	Posušje	6	4	2	0	14
5	Sloboda Tuzla	6	3	2	1	11
6	Igman Konjic	6	3	2	1	11
7	Jedinstvo Bihać	6	2	3	1	9
8	Bratstvo Gračanica	6	1	4	1	7
9	TOŠK Tešanj	6	2	0	4	6
10	Budućnost Banovići	6	1	2	3	5
11	Zvijezda Gradačac	6	1	1	4	4
12	Radnik Hadžići	6	1	1	4	4
13	Čapljina	6	1	1	4	4
14	Tomislav	6	1	1	4	4
15	Vitez	6	0	3	3	3
16	Rudar Kakanj	6	1	0	5	3

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Stupčanica Olovo	6	18	4	+14	15
2	Jedinstvo Bihać	6	14	6	+8	9
3	Travnik	6	13	3	+10	18
4	Sloboda Tuzla	6	13	6	+7	11
5	GOŠK Gabela	6	10	2	+8	15
6	Posušje	6	8	4	+4	14
7	Bratstvo Gračanica	6	8	8	0	7
8	Igman Konjic	6	7	4	+3	11
9	Budućnost Banovići	6	7	15	-8	5
10	Tomislav	6	6	17	-11	4
11	TOŠK Tešanj	6	5	9	-4	6
12	Čapljina	6	5	15	-10	4
13	Vitez	6	4	9	-5	3
14	Zvijezda Gradačac	6	3	5	-2	4
15	Radnik Hadžići	6	3	8	-5	4
16	Rudar Kakanj	6	2	11	-9	3