Kirivong Sok Sen Chey vs Angkor Tiger Statistics & Analysis

Kirivong Sok Sen Chey

Sep 20, 2026 - 08:45

2 1.14

1 1.46

xG Accuracy: 70%

Angkor Tiger

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Angkor Tiger Kirivong Sok Sen Chey ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 1-0, 0-2 2-1 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 00:57 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8658607

Closing Odds 1.19

AI Fair Odds —

CLV +0.0%

Final Result Kirivong Sok Sen Chey win · Kirivong Sok Sen Chey 2–1 Angkor Tiger

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Market intelligence

Supporting read on how the prioritized closing feed moved versus the model — use after the Primary pick above.

Market briefing

Market remained largely stable before kickoff. No meaningful late implied-price shift was detected between PRE30 and PRE1 on the prioritized bookmaker snapshot.

Despite limited late movement, the model still prices Kirivong Sok Sen Chey (1X2), Draw (1X2), Under 2.5 goals meaningfully above what those closing snapshots implied — that gap is a static “model vs. price” read, not a late steam or chase story.

The model still exceeds closing implied on Under 2.5 goals by about 18.6 percentage points — the clearest mispricing signal summarized on this page.

Model vs. closing implied

Market	Model %	Closing impl. %	Gap (pp)
Kirivong Sok Sen Chey (1X2)	27.9	11.1	+16.8
Draw (1X2)	29.2	13.8	+15.4
Angkor Tiger (1X2)	42.9	75.1	-32.2
Over 2.5 goals	48.2	66.8	-18.6
Under 2.5 goals	51.8	33.2	+18.6

What this means

In plain terms: the model lands near 51.8% on Under 2.5 goals, while the closing snapshot implied about 33.2%. The difference — about 18.6 percentage points — is the largest model-vs.-market gap highlighted on this page.

Quick definitions: “closing implied” is the probability for that outcome implied by the final captured odds (after a simple de-vig). “Gap (pp)” is the model percentage minus that implied value, in percentage points (pp).

Closing-window line move

Single prioritized bookmaker per snapshot (not all books). Capture path: PRE30 → PRE1 · Book: Pinnacle

Column tags in parentheses: Closing uses the first available snapshot in PRE1→PRE5→PRE10→PRE30; Early uses the first available in PRE30→PRE10→PRE5 that is not the same capture as Closing.

Detailed capture odds are folded below — movement was negligible on de-vig implied prices.

View full line-by-line capture table

Market	Early (PRE30)	Closing (PRE1)
Kirivong Sok Sen Chey (1X2)	8.02	8.02
Draw (1X2)	6.48	6.48
Angkor Tiger (1X2)	1.19	1.19
Over 2.5 goals	1.36	1.36
Under 2.5 goals	2.73	2.73

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Model favours Angkor Tiger; market prices Angkor Tiger instead — inputs may be missing or stale.

Model: Kirivong Sok Sen Chey 1.14 xG vs Angkor Tiger 1.46 → Angkor Tiger 42.9%
Market: Angkor Tiger ~75.1% implied
Validation failed — do not treat 1X2 EV as actionable.

Do not act on 1X2 value until validation passes. Structural leans (O/U, BTTS) need separate odds review.

Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 53.8% · No 46.2%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: Wait - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 01, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

C-League — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Visakha	3	3	0	0	9
2	Svay Rieng	3	2	1	0	7
3	NagaWorld	3	2	1	0	7
4	Dangkor Senchey	3	1	2	0	5
5	Kompong Dewa	3	1	1	1	4
6	Kirivong Sok Sen Chey	3	1	0	2	3
7	Phnom Penh Crown	2	0	2	0	2
8	Angkor Tiger	3	0	2	1	2
9	Boeung Ket	2	0	1	1	1
10	Life Sihanoukville	2	0	0	2	0
11	National Defense	3	0	0	3	0

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Visakha	3	10	2	+8	9
2	Dangkor Senchey	3	10	4	+6	5
3	Svay Rieng	3	8	1	+7	7
4	NagaWorld	3	8	6	+2	7
5	National Defense	3	5	15	-10	0
6	Phnom Penh Crown	2	4	4	0	2
7	Boeung Ket	2	4	5	-1	1
8	Angkor Tiger	3	3	4	-1	2
9	Kompong Dewa	3	2	2	0	4
10	Kirivong Sok Sen Chey	3	2	10	-8	3
11	Life Sihanoukville	2	0	3	-3	0