Statistics / Football / Germany. Oberliga - Mittelrhein / Chlodwig Zulpich vs VfL Vichttal

Chlodwig Zulpich vs VfL Vichttal Statistics & Analysis

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Chlodwig Zulpich
Sep 20, 2026 - 13:30
4 1.22
3 1.38
xG Accuracy: 30%
VfL Vichttal VfL Vichttal
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (7 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 VfL Vichttal Chlodwig Zulpich ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 4-3 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 01:51 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8678027

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Chlodwig Zulpich win · Chlodwig Zulpich 4–3 VfL Vichttal
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Oberliga - Mittelrhein
  • Fixture: Chlodwig Zulpich vs VfL Vichttal
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-20 13:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 31.5% · Draw 29.5% · Away 39.0%
  • xG (showing): Chlodwig Zulpich 1.22 — VfL Vichttal 1.38 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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Oberliga - Mittelrhein Oberliga - Mittelrhein — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Wegberg-Beeck 5 4 1 0 13
2 Eintracht Hohkeppel 4 3 1 0 10
3 VfL Vichttal 5 2 2 1 8
4 SSV Merten 4 2 1 1 7
5 Lindenthal-Hohenlind 4 2 1 1 7
6 Fortuna Köln II 3 2 0 1 6
7 Chlodwig Zulpich 4 2 0 2 6
8 Porz 4 1 2 1 5
9 Hürth 4 1 2 1 5
10 Siegburger SV 4 1 2 1 5
11 Frechen 4 1 1 2 4
12 Neunkirchen-Seelscheid 5 1 1 3 4
13 Düren Merzenich 5 1 1 3 4
14 Hennef 05 4 1 1 2 4
15 Bornheim 4 1 0 3 3
16 TuS BW Königsdorf 3 0 0 3 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 VfL Vichttal 5 16 10 +6 8
2 Wegberg-Beeck 5 15 4 +11 13
3 Eintracht Hohkeppel 4 13 2 +11 10
4 SSV Merten 4 10 5 +5 7
5 Fortuna Köln II 3 9 6 +3 6
6 Frechen 4 9 10 -1 4
7 Chlodwig Zulpich 4 9 14 -5 6
8 Lindenthal-Hohenlind 4 8 7 +1 7
9 Siegburger SV 4 8 9 -1 5
10 Neunkirchen-Seelscheid 5 7 10 -3 4
11 Düren Merzenich 5 7 11 -4 4
12 Porz 4 6 6 0 5
13 Bornheim 4 6 8 -2 3
14 Hürth 4 3 3 0 5
15 Hennef 05 4 2 7 -5 4
16 TuS BW Königsdorf 3 2 18 -16 0
Oberliga - Mittelrhein Germany. Oberliga - Mittelrhein Predictions