Statistics / Football / Germany. Oberliga - Mittelrhein / Fortuna Köln II vs Lindenthal-Hohenlind

Fortuna Köln II vs Lindenthal-Hohenlind Statistics & Analysis

Fortuna Köln II Fortuna Köln II
Oct 11, 2026 - 13:30
2 1.32
3 1.28
xG Accuracy: 52%
Lindenthal-Hohenlind Lindenthal-Hohenlind
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Fortuna Köln II Lindenthal-Hohenlind ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-3 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 02:26 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13217219

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Lindenthal-Hohenlind win · Fortuna Köln II 2–3 Lindenthal-Hohenlind
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Oberliga - Mittelrhein
  • Fixture: Fortuna Köln II vs Lindenthal-Hohenlind
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-11 13:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
  • xG (showing): Fortuna Köln II 1.32 — Lindenthal-Hohenlind 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 12, 2026 (UTC)

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Oberliga - Mittelrhein Oberliga - Mittelrhein — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Wegberg-Beeck 6 5 1 0 16
2 Eintracht Hohkeppel 6 4 1 1 13
3 Fortuna Köln II 5 4 0 1 12
4 Lindenthal-Hohenlind 6 3 2 1 11
5 SSV Merten 6 3 1 2 10
6 Chlodwig Zulpich 6 3 1 2 10
7 Hürth 6 2 3 1 9
8 Bornheim 7 3 0 4 9
9 VfL Vichttal 6 2 2 2 8
10 Frechen 6 2 2 2 8
11 Düren Merzenich 6 2 1 3 7
12 Hennef 05 6 2 1 3 7
13 Porz 6 1 2 3 5
14 Siegburger SV 6 1 2 3 5
15 Neunkirchen-Seelscheid 7 1 1 5 4
16 TuS BW Königsdorf 5 0 0 5 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 SSV Merten 6 19 10 +9 10
2 Eintracht Hohkeppel 6 18 9 +9 13
3 Bornheim 7 17 17 0 9
4 Wegberg-Beeck 6 16 4 +12 16
5 VfL Vichttal 6 16 11 +5 8
6 Chlodwig Zulpich 6 16 17 -1 10
7 Fortuna Köln II 5 13 7 +6 12
8 Lindenthal-Hohenlind 6 12 9 +3 11
9 Frechen 6 12 12 0 8
10 Düren Merzenich 6 12 14 -2 7
11 Siegburger SV 6 9 14 -5 5
12 Neunkirchen-Seelscheid 7 8 17 -9 4
13 Porz 6 7 11 -4 5
14 Hürth 6 6 5 +1 9
15 Hennef 05 6 6 9 -3 7
16 TuS BW Königsdorf 5 6 27 -21 0
Oberliga - Mittelrhein Germany. Oberliga - Mittelrhein Predictions