Statistics / Football / Switzerland. 1. Liga Classic - Group 2 / Bassecourt vs Thun II

Bassecourt vs Thun II Statistics & Analysis

Bassecourt Bassecourt
Oct 04, 2026 - 12:30
0 1.31
2 1.29
xG Accuracy: 57%
Thun II Thun II
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Bassecourt Thun II ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-2 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 29, 2026 · 01:19 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11665701

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Thun II win · Bassecourt 0–2 Thun II
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: 1. Liga Classic - Group 2
  • Fixture: Bassecourt vs Thun II
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-04 12:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 35.6% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.7%
  • xG (showing): Bassecourt 1.31 — Thun II 1.29 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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1. Liga Classic - Group 2 1. Liga Classic - Group 2 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Langenthal 10 7 2 1 23
2 Schötz 10 6 2 2 20
3 Courtételle 10 6 1 3 19
4 Concordia Basel 10 5 2 3 17
5 Delémont 10 5 2 3 17
6 Muttenz 10 5 2 3 17
7 Grasshopper II 10 5 0 5 15
8 Solothurn 9 4 1 4 13
9 Buochs 10 4 1 5 13
10 Muri-Gümligen 10 4 1 5 13
11 Thun II 10 3 3 4 12
12 FC Wohlen 10 3 3 4 12
13 Bassecourt 10 3 1 6 10
14 Black Stars 9 1 6 2 9
15 Zug 9 2 1 6 7
16 Münsingen 9 0 2 7 2
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Schötz 10 28 15 +13 20
2 Langenthal 10 27 18 +9 23
3 Solothurn 9 22 18 +4 13
4 Thun II 10 22 25 -3 12
5 Concordia Basel 10 21 14 +7 17
6 Courtételle 10 20 11 +9 19
7 Muttenz 10 20 16 +4 17
8 Delémont 10 17 10 +7 17
9 Buochs 10 17 19 -2 13
10 Grasshopper II 10 16 17 -1 15
11 Muri-Gümligen 10 11 15 -4 13
12 FC Wohlen 10 11 15 -4 12
13 Bassecourt 10 11 20 -9 10
14 Zug 9 11 22 -11 7
15 Black Stars 9 8 10 -2 9
16 Münsingen 9 7 24 -17 2
1. Liga Classic - Group 2 Switzerland. 1. Liga Classic - Group 2 Predictions