Vasco da Gama U20 vs Palmeiras U20 Statistics & Analysis

Vasco da Gama U20

Aug 28, 2026 - 21:00

0 1.22

1 1.38

xG Accuracy: 64%

Palmeiras U20

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
1X2 Palmeiras U20 Palmeiras U20 ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 22, 2026 · 04:33 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-4950514

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Palmeiras U20 win · Vasco da Gama U20 0–1 Palmeiras U20

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Brasileiro U20 A
Fixture: Vasco da Gama U20 vs Palmeiras U20
Kickoff: 2026-08-28 21:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 31.5% · Draw 29.5% · Away 39.0%
xG (showing): Vasco da Gama U20 1.22 — Palmeiras U20 1.38 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

Brasileiro U20 A — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Palmeiras U20	19	13	5	1	44
2	Vasco da Gama U20	19	11	3	5	36
3	Botafogo U20	19	11	3	5	36
4	RB Bragantino U20	19	10	4	5	34
5	Athletico PR U20	19	9	5	5	32
6	Santos U20	19	9	4	6	31
7	Cruzeiro U20	19	8	5	6	29
8	Corinthians U20	19	8	5	6	29
9	Bahia U20	19	8	5	6	29
10	Flamengo U20	19	7	7	5	28
11	São Paulo U20	19	6	7	6	25
12	América Mineiro U20	19	6	7	6	25
13	Cuiabá U20	19	6	3	10	21
14	Vitória U20	19	5	5	9	20
15	Fluminense U20	19	5	4	10	19
16	Grêmio U20	19	6	1	12	19
17	Juventude U20	19	5	3	11	18
18	Criciuma U20	19	5	2	12	17
19	Avaí U20	19	3	7	9	16
20	Fortaleza U20	19	2	9	8	15

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Palmeiras U20	19	54	23	+31	44
2	RB Bragantino U20	19	49	35	+14	34
3	Athletico PR U20	19	39	25	+14	32
4	Vasco da Gama U20	19	36	19	+17	36
5	Cruzeiro U20	19	35	27	+8	29
6	Botafogo U20	19	32	20	+12	36
7	Bahia U20	19	32	30	+2	29
8	Corinthians U20	19	31	25	+6	29
9	Grêmio U20	19	31	42	-11	19
10	Santos U20	19	29	24	+5	31
11	Flamengo U20	19	28	29	-1	28
12	São Paulo U20	19	27	26	+1	25
13	Fluminense U20	19	25	31	-6	19
14	América Mineiro U20	19	25	37	-12	25
15	Criciuma U20	19	24	40	-16	17
16	Avaí U20	19	24	43	-19	16
17	Vitória U20	19	20	31	-11	20
18	Juventude U20	19	20	39	-19	18
19	Cuiabá U20	19	19	27	-8	21
20	Fortaleza U20	19	18	25	-7	15