Statistics / Football / Cyprus. 2. Division / Ethnikos Achna vs Polemidion

Ethnikos Achna vs Polemidion Statistics & Analysis

Ethnikos Achna Ethnikos Achna
Sep 19, 2026 - 16:00
3 1.32
0 1.28
xG Accuracy: 44%
⚽
Polemidion
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Ethnikos Achna Ethnikos Achna ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 3-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 03:10 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8703234

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Ethnikos Achna win · Ethnikos Achna 3–0 Polemidion
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: 2. Division
  • Fixture: Ethnikos Achna vs Polemidion
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-19 16:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
  • xG (showing): Ethnikos Achna 1.32 — Polemidion 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
2. Division 2. Division — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Ethnikos Achna 2 2 0 0 6
2 Enosis 2 1 1 0 4
3 ASIL Lysi 2 1 1 0 4
4 Iraklis Yerolakkou 2 1 1 0 4
5 Doxa 2 1 1 0 4
6 APEA 2 1 1 0 4
7 PAEEK 2 1 0 1 3
8 Polemidion 2 1 0 1 3
9 Spartakos Kitiou 2 1 0 1 3
10 Ermis 2 1 0 1 3
11 Digenis Morphou 2 0 1 1 1
12 MEAP Nisou 2 0 1 1 1
13 Ayia Napa 2 0 1 1 1
14 Akritas 2 0 1 1 1
15 Halkanoras 2 0 1 1 1
16 Anagennisi Deryneia 2 0 0 2 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Ethnikos Achna 2 7 2 +5 6
2 Doxa 2 5 4 +1 4
3 ASIL Lysi 2 4 2 +2 4
4 Spartakos Kitiou 2 4 2 +2 3
5 APEA 2 4 3 +1 4
6 PAEEK 2 4 5 -1 3
7 Enosis 2 3 0 +3 4
8 Iraklis Yerolakkou 2 3 1 +2 4
9 Ermis 2 3 2 +1 3
10 Ayia Napa 2 2 4 -2 1
11 Polemidion 2 1 3 -2 3
12 Akritas 2 1 3 -2 1
13 MEAP Nisou 2 1 4 -3 1
14 Anagennisi Deryneia 2 1 5 -4 0
15 Digenis Morphou 2 0 1 -1 1
16 Halkanoras 2 0 2 -2 1