Statistics / Football / Cyprus. 2. Division / Digenis Morphou vs APEA

Digenis Morphou vs APEA Statistics & Analysis

Digenis Morphou Digenis Morphou
Sep 19, 2026 - 16:00
0 1.28
1 1.32
xG Accuracy: 64%
APEA APEA
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 APEA APEA ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 03:10 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8703040

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result APEA win · Digenis Morphou 0–1 APEA
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: 2. Division
  • Fixture: Digenis Morphou vs APEA
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-19 16:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 34.2% · Draw 29.7% · Away 36.1%
  • xG (showing): Digenis Morphou 1.28 — APEA 1.32 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None (actionable) — best tracked EV is about +2.0%, still below the +2.0% minimum for a headline / default stake (no default bet).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 22, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
2. Division 2. Division — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Enosis 1 1 0 0 3
2 Ethnikos Achna 1 1 0 0 3
3 ASIL Lysi 1 1 0 0 3
4 Ermis 1 1 0 0 3
5 Iraklis Yerolakkou 1 1 0 0 3
6 Polemidion 1 1 0 0 3
7 Doxa 1 0 1 0 1
8 APEA 1 0 1 0 1
9 Digenis Morphou 1 0 1 0 1
10 MEAP Nisou 1 0 1 0 1
11 Spartakos Kitiou 1 0 0 1 0
12 PAEEK 1 0 0 1 0
13 Ayia Napa 1 0 0 1 0
14 Halkanoras 1 0 0 1 0
15 Akritas 1 0 0 1 0
16 Anagennisi Deryneia 1 0 0 1 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Ethnikos Achna 1 4 2 +2 3
2 Enosis 1 3 0 +3 3
3 ASIL Lysi 1 3 1 +2 3
4 Doxa 1 3 3 0 1
5 APEA 1 3 3 0 1
6 Ermis 1 2 0 +2 3
7 Iraklis Yerolakkou 1 2 0 +2 3
8 PAEEK 1 2 4 -2 0
9 Polemidion 1 1 0 +1 3
10 Ayia Napa 1 1 3 -2 0
11 Digenis Morphou 1 0 0 0 1
12 MEAP Nisou 1 0 0 0 1
13 Spartakos Kitiou 1 0 1 -1 0
14 Halkanoras 1 0 2 -2 0
15 Akritas 1 0 2 -2 0
16 Anagennisi Deryneia 1 0 3 -3 0