Statistics / Football / England. Women's Championship / Nottingham Forest W vs Burnley W

Nottingham Forest W vs Burnley W Statistics & Analysis

Nottingham Forest W Nottingham Forest W
Oct 04, 2026 - 13:00
2 1.30
0 1.30
xG Accuracy: 58%
Burnley W Burnley W
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS No No ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Nottingham Forest W Nottingham Forest W ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 2-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 29, 2026 · 01:30 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11668632

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Nottingham Forest W win · Nottingham Forest W 2–0 Burnley W
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade A

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Women's Championship
  • Fixture: Nottingham Forest W vs Burnley W
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-04 13:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 35.2% · Draw 29.6% · Away 35.2%
  • xG (showing): Nottingham Forest W 1.3 — Burnley W 1.3 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS No
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 06, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Women's Championship Women's Championship — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Newcastle United W 4 4 0 0 12
2 Sunderland W 4 3 1 0 10
3 Ipswich Town W 4 2 2 0 8
4 Southampton W 4 1 3 0 6
5 Wolverhampton W 4 2 0 2 6
6 Nottingham Forest W 4 1 3 0 6
7 Leicester City WFC 4 2 0 2 6
8 Bristol City W 4 1 1 2 4
9 Sheffield United W 4 1 0 3 3
10 Burnley W 4 0 2 2 2
11 Watford W 4 0 2 2 2
12 Durham W 4 0 0 4 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Newcastle United W 4 11 1 +10 12
2 Sunderland W 4 8 3 +5 10
3 Wolverhampton W 4 7 6 +1 6
4 Nottingham Forest W 4 6 5 +1 6
5 Bristol City W 4 6 6 0 4
6 Sheffield United W 4 6 9 -3 3
7 Ipswich Town W 4 5 2 +3 8
8 Leicester City WFC 4 5 7 -2 6
9 Durham W 4 5 13 -8 0
10 Southampton W 4 4 2 +2 6
11 Watford W 4 4 9 -5 2
12 Burnley W 4 1 5 -4 2