Statistics / Football / England. Women's Championship / Bristol City W vs Southampton W

Bristol City W vs Southampton W Statistics & Analysis

Bristol City W Bristol City W
Oct 04, 2026 - 13:00
2 1.31
1 1.29
xG Accuracy: 76%
Southampton W Southampton W
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS No Yes ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Bristol City W Bristol City W ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 29, 2026 · 01:30 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11668516

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Bristol City W win · Bristol City W 2–1 Southampton W
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Women's Championship
  • Fixture: Bristol City W vs Southampton W
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-04 13:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 35.6% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.7%
  • xG (showing): Bristol City W 1.31 — Southampton W 1.29 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 44.3% · Probability edge: +7.5 pts · Est. EV: +14.0%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 15, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Women's Championship Women's Championship — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Newcastle United W 5 5 0 0 15
2 Sunderland W 5 4 1 0 13
3 Ipswich Town W 5 3 2 0 11
4 Nottingham Forest W 5 2 3 0 9
5 Wolverhampton W 5 2 1 2 7
6 Bristol City W 5 2 1 2 7
7 Southampton W 5 1 3 1 6
8 Leicester City WFC 5 2 0 3 6
9 Sheffield United W 5 1 0 4 3
10 Watford W 5 0 3 2 3
11 Burnley W 5 0 2 3 2
12 Durham W 5 0 0 5 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Newcastle United W 5 14 1 +13 15
2 Sunderland W 5 11 4 +7 13
3 Wolverhampton W 5 9 8 +1 7
4 Nottingham Forest W 5 8 5 +3 9
5 Bristol City W 5 8 7 +1 7
6 Ipswich Town W 5 7 3 +4 11
7 Sheffield United W 5 7 11 -4 3
8 Leicester City WFC 5 6 10 -4 6
9 Watford W 5 6 11 -5 3
10 Southampton W 5 5 4 +1 6
11 Durham W 5 5 16 -11 0
12 Burnley W 5 1 7 -6 2