Statistics / Football / England. Women's Championship / Wolverhampton W vs Burnley W

Wolverhampton W vs Burnley W Statistics & Analysis

Wolverhampton W Wolverhampton W
Sep 18, 2026 - 18:30
3 1.32
0 1.28
xG Accuracy: 44%
Burnley W Burnley W
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Wolverhampton W Wolverhampton W ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 3-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 12, 2026 · 02:33 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8229654

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Wolverhampton W win · Wolverhampton W 3–0 Burnley W
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Women's Championship
  • Fixture: Wolverhampton W vs Burnley W
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-18 18:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
  • xG (showing): Wolverhampton W 1.32 — Burnley W 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Women's Championship Women's Championship — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Newcastle United W 3 3 0 0 9
2 Sunderland W 3 2 1 0 7
3 Wolverhampton W 3 2 0 1 6
4 Leicester City WFC 3 2 0 1 6
5 Southampton W 3 1 2 0 5
6 Nottingham Forest W 3 1 2 0 5
7 Ipswich Town W 3 1 2 0 5
8 Bristol City W 4 1 1 2 4
9 Watford W 3 0 2 1 2
10 Burnley W 4 0 2 2 2
11 Durham W 3 0 0 3 0
12 Sheffield United W 3 0 0 3 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Newcastle United W 3 7 1 +6 9
2 Sunderland W 3 6 2 +4 7
3 Wolverhampton W 3 6 3 +3 6
4 Bristol City W 4 6 6 0 4
5 Leicester City WFC 3 5 3 +2 6
6 Nottingham Forest W 3 5 4 +1 5
7 Durham W 3 4 9 -5 0
8 Southampton W 3 3 1 +2 5
9 Watford W 3 3 7 -4 2
10 Ipswich Town W 3 2 1 +1 5
11 Sheffield United W 3 2 8 -6 0
12 Burnley W 4 1 5 -4 2