Statistics / Football / Italy. Serie C - Girone C / Bari vs Giugliano

Bari vs Giugliano Statistics & Analysis

Bari Bari
Oct 10, 2026 - 12:30
2 1.33
0 1.27
xG Accuracy: 59%
Giugliano Giugliano
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Bari Bari ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 01:51 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13204931

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Bari win · Bari 2–0 Giugliano
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Serie C - Girone C
  • Fixture: Bari vs Giugliano
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-10 12:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.6% · Draw 29.6% · Away 33.8%
  • xG (showing): Bari 1.33 — Giugliano 1.27 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 17, 2026 (UTC)

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Serie C - Girone C Serie C - Girone C — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Potenza 8 6 1 1 19
2 Bari 9 6 1 2 19
3 Sorrento 8 6 0 2 18
4 Casertana 9 4 3 2 15
5 Audace Cerignola 9 4 2 3 14
6 Catania 8 4 1 3 13
7 Salernitana 8 3 3 2 12
8 AZ Picerno 8 4 0 4 12
9 SS Monopoli 9 3 3 3 12
10 Foggia 8 3 2 3 11
11 Cavese 8 3 2 3 11
12 Scafatese 7 2 4 1 10
13 Inter U23 7 3 1 3 10
14 Savoia 9 2 4 3 10
15 Casarano 8 3 1 4 10
16 Team Altamura 8 2 2 4 8
17 Barletta 8 1 4 3 7
18 Giugliano 8 2 1 5 7
19 Cosenza 8 0 2 6 2
20 Crotone 9 1 3 5 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Potenza 8 21 11 +10 19
2 AZ Picerno 8 16 15 +1 12
3 Casertana 9 15 13 +2 15
4 Audace Cerignola 9 14 9 +5 14
5 Catania 8 14 10 +4 13
6 Cavese 8 14 14 0 11
7 Bari 9 13 6 +7 19
8 Sorrento 8 12 7 +5 18
9 Salernitana 8 12 10 +2 12
10 Inter U23 7 12 13 -1 10
11 Giugliano 8 12 18 -6 7
12 Savoia 9 11 12 -1 10
13 Barletta 8 11 14 -3 7
14 Scafatese 7 10 9 +1 10
15 Casarano 8 10 13 -3 10
16 Crotone 9 10 15 -5 0
17 Foggia 8 8 7 +1 11
18 SS Monopoli 9 7 7 0 12
19 Cosenza 8 5 18 -13 2
20 Team Altamura 8 4 10 -6 8
Serie C - Girone C Italy. Serie C - Girone C Predictions