Statistics / Football / Italy. Serie C - Girone C / Giugliano vs Sorrento

Giugliano vs Sorrento Statistics & Analysis

Giugliano Giugliano
Sep 05, 2026 - 19:00
0 1.36
2 1.24
xG Accuracy: 56%
Sorrento Sorrento
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Giugliano Sorrento ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-2 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 30, 2026 · 04:17 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-6168807

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Sorrento win · Giugliano 0–2 Sorrento
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Serie C - Girone C
  • Fixture: Giugliano vs Sorrento
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-05 19:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 38.0% · Draw 29.6% · Away 32.4%
  • xG (showing): Giugliano 1.36 — Sorrento 1.24 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Serie C - Girone C Serie C - Girone C — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Sorrento 4 4 0 0 12
2 Audace Cerignola 4 3 0 1 9
3 AZ Picerno 4 3 0 1 9
4 Bari 4 3 0 1 9
5 Potenza 4 3 0 1 9
6 Casertana 4 2 2 0 8
7 SS Monopoli 4 2 0 2 6
8 Casarano 4 2 0 2 6
9 Barletta 4 1 2 1 5
10 Salernitana 4 1 2 1 5
11 Scafatese 4 1 2 1 5
12 Cavese 4 1 2 1 5
13 Savoia 4 1 1 2 4
14 Foggia 4 1 1 2 4
15 Inter U23 4 1 1 2 4
16 Team Altamura 4 1 1 2 4
17 Catania 4 1 0 3 3
18 Giugliano 4 0 1 3 1
19 Cosenza 4 0 1 3 1
20 Crotone 4 0 2 2
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Audace Cerignola 4 10 4 +6 9
2 Casertana 4 10 8 +2 8
3 AZ Picerno 4 9 4 +5 9
4 Potenza 4 9 6 +3 9
5 Barletta 4 9 8 +1 5
6 Casarano 4 8 9 -1 6
7 Bari 4 7 3 +4 9
8 Salernitana 4 7 6 +1 5
9 Scafatese 4 7 8 -1 5
10 Sorrento 4 6 1 +5 12
11 Savoia 4 6 6 0 4
12 Catania 4 6 6 0 3
13 Inter U23 4 6 9 -3 4
14 Giugliano 4 6 13 -7 1
15 Cavese 4 4 5 -1 5
16 SS Monopoli 4 3 2 +1 6
17 Crotone 4 3 5 -2
18 Foggia 4 2 4 -2 4
19 Team Altamura 4 2 6 -4 4
20 Cosenza 4 2 9 -7 1
Serie C - Girone C Italy. Serie C - Girone C Predictions