Statistics / Football / Italy. Serie C - Girone B / Sambenedettese vs Latina

Sambenedettese vs Latina Statistics & Analysis

Sambenedettese Sambenedettese
Oct 11, 2026 - 12:30
1 1.32
1 1.28
xG Accuracy: 85%
Latina Latina
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Sambenedettese Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 01:48 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13203956

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Sambenedettese 1–1 Latina
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Serie C - Girone B
  • Fixture: Sambenedettese vs Latina
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-11 12:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
  • xG (showing): Sambenedettese 1.32 — Latina 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Over 2.5 goals
  • Model: 48.2% · Implied: 39.7% · Probability edge: +8.5 pts · Est. EV: +15.7%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 15, 2026 (UTC)

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Serie C - Girone B Serie C - Girone B — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Spezia 9 8 1 0 25
2 Grosseto 9 5 3 1 18
3 Ravenna 8 5 2 1 17
4 Reggiana 8 4 2 2 14
5 Livorno 8 4 2 2 14
6 Perugia 8 4 1 3 13
7 Guidonia Montecelio 1937 8 3 3 2 12
8 Città di Campobasso 8 3 3 2 12
9 Torres 8 3 3 2 12
10 Pescara 8 3 2 3 11
11 Forli 8 2 4 2 10
12 Ostia Mare 9 2 3 4 9
13 Atalanta II 6 3 0 3 9
14 Vado 8 2 2 4 8
15 Pianese 9 1 4 4 7
16 Pineto 8 1 4 3 7
17 Gubbio 9 2 1 6 7
18 Latina 7 1 3 3 6
19 Sambenedettese 8 1 2 5 5
20 Vis Pesaro 8 1 1 6 4
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Spezia 9 17 4 +13 25
2 Grosseto 9 17 9 +8 18
3 Ravenna 8 13 4 +9 17
4 Forli 8 13 12 +1 10
5 Reggiana 8 12 7 +5 14
6 Città di Campobasso 8 12 11 +1 12
7 Sambenedettese 8 11 14 -3 5
8 Guidonia Montecelio 1937 8 10 7 +3 12
9 Livorno 8 10 9 +1 14
10 Pescara 8 10 11 -1 11
11 Gubbio 9 10 18 -8 7
12 Vis Pesaro 8 10 19 -9 4
13 Torres 8 9 9 0 12
14 Ostia Mare 9 9 10 -1 9
15 Perugia 8 9 12 -3 13
16 Atalanta II 6 7 9 -2 9
17 Vado 8 6 8 -2 8
18 Latina 7 6 9 -3 6
19 Pianese 9 6 10 -4 7
20 Pineto 8 6 11 -5 7
Serie C - Girone B Italy. Serie C - Girone B Predictions