Statistics / Football / Italy. Serie C - Girone B / Ravenna vs Città di Campobasso

Ravenna vs Città di Campobasso Statistics & Analysis

Oct 11, 2026 - 12:30
3 1.36
1 1.24
xG Accuracy: 60%
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Ravenna Ravenna ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 3-1 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 01:48 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13203954

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Ravenna win · Ravenna 3–1 Città di Campobasso
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Serie C - Girone B
  • Fixture: Ravenna vs Città di Campobasso
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-11 12:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 38.0% · Draw 29.6% · Away 32.4%
  • xG (showing): Ravenna 1.36 — Città di Campobasso 1.24 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 13, 2026 (UTC)

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Serie C - Girone B Serie C - Girone B — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Spezia 9 8 1 0 25
2 Grosseto 9 5 3 1 18
3 Ravenna 8 5 2 1 17
4 Reggiana 8 4 2 2 14
5 Livorno 8 4 2 2 14
6 Perugia 8 4 1 3 13
7 Guidonia Montecelio 1937 8 3 3 2 12
8 Città di Campobasso 8 3 3 2 12
9 Torres 8 3 3 2 12
10 Pescara 8 3 2 3 11
11 Forli 8 2 4 2 10
12 Ostia Mare 9 2 3 4 9
13 Atalanta II 6 3 0 3 9
14 Vado 8 2 2 4 8
15 Pianese 9 1 4 4 7
16 Pineto 8 1 4 3 7
17 Gubbio 9 2 1 6 7
18 Latina 7 1 3 3 6
19 Sambenedettese 8 1 2 5 5
20 Vis Pesaro 8 1 1 6 4
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Spezia 9 17 4 +13 25
2 Grosseto 9 17 9 +8 18
3 Ravenna 8 13 4 +9 17
4 Forli 8 13 12 +1 10
5 Reggiana 8 12 7 +5 14
6 Città di Campobasso 8 12 11 +1 12
7 Sambenedettese 8 11 14 -3 5
8 Guidonia Montecelio 1937 8 10 7 +3 12
9 Livorno 8 10 9 +1 14
10 Pescara 8 10 11 -1 11
11 Gubbio 9 10 18 -8 7
12 Vis Pesaro 8 10 19 -9 4
13 Torres 8 9 9 0 12
14 Ostia Mare 9 9 10 -1 9
15 Perugia 8 9 12 -3 13
16 Atalanta II 6 7 9 -2 9
17 Vado 8 6 8 -2 8
18 Latina 7 6 9 -3 6
19 Pianese 9 6 10 -4 7
20 Pineto 8 6 11 -5 7