Statistics / Football / Austria. Regionalliga - North / Gurten vs Wals-Grünau

Gurten vs Wals-Grünau Statistics & Analysis

Gurten Gurten
Oct 09, 2026 - 17:00
1 1.32
0 1.28
xG Accuracy: 64%
Wals-Grünau Wals-Grünau
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Gurten Gurten ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-0 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 03, 2026 · 02:08 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-12698664

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Gurten win · Gurten 1–0 Wals-Grünau
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Regionalliga - North
  • Fixture: Gurten vs Wals-Grünau
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-09 17:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
  • xG (showing): Gurten 1.32 — Wals-Grünau 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Regionalliga - North Regionalliga - North — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Wallern / Marienkirchen 11 8 1 2 25
2 LASK Juniors 11 7 2 2 23
3 Wals-Grünau 12 6 5 1 23
4 Gurten 12 6 3 3 21
5 Kuchl 11 5 3 3 18
6 Bad Schallerbach 11 5 2 4 17
7 Grödig 11 5 1 5 16
8 SK Vorwarts Steyr 11 4 3 4 15
9 TSV St. Johann 11 4 2 5 14
10 Ried II 12 4 2 6 14
11 Leonfelden 11 3 4 4 13
12 Seekirchen 11 3 3 5 12
13 UFC Hallein 11 2 3 6 9
14 Wohnbau Dietach 11 2 2 7 8
15 Pinzgau Saalfelden 11 1 2 8 5
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 LASK Juniors 11 35 11 +24 23
2 Wallern / Marienkirchen 11 31 10 +21 25
3 Wals-Grünau 12 23 14 +9 23
4 Bad Schallerbach 11 23 16 +7 17
5 Kuchl 11 23 19 +4 18
6 Leonfelden 11 21 24 -3 13
7 Gurten 12 19 11 +8 21
8 Grödig 11 18 19 -1 16
9 SK Vorwarts Steyr 11 15 14 +1 15
10 Ried II 12 15 28 -13 14
11 Pinzgau Saalfelden 11 13 28 -15 5
12 Wohnbau Dietach 11 13 32 -19 8
13 Seekirchen 11 12 17 -5 12
14 TSV St. Johann 11 11 16 -5 14
15 UFC Hallein 11 11 24 -13 9
Regionalliga - North Austria. Regionalliga - North Predictions