Statistics / Football / Austria. Regionalliga - North / Wals-Grünau vs Ried II

Wals-Grünau vs Ried II Statistics & Analysis

Wals-Grünau Wals-Grünau
Oct 03, 2026 - 14:00
2 1.32
2 1.28
xG Accuracy: 68%
Ried II Ried II
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Wals-Grünau Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-2 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 02:47 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11244830

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Wals-Grünau 2–2 Ried II
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Regionalliga - North
  • Fixture: Wals-Grünau vs Ried II
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-03 14:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
  • xG (showing): Wals-Grünau 1.32 — Ried II 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 05, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Regionalliga - North Regionalliga - North — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Wals-Grünau 10 6 4 0 22
2 Wallern / Marienkirchen 9 6 1 2 19
3 Gurten 11 5 3 3 18
4 LASK Juniors 9 5 2 2 17
5 Bad Schallerbach 10 5 2 3 17
6 Kuchl 9 4 2 3 14
7 SK Vorwarts Steyr 9 4 2 3 14
8 TSV St. Johann 10 4 2 4 14
9 Grödig 9 4 1 4 13
10 Seekirchen 11 3 3 5 12
11 Leonfelden 9 2 4 3 10
12 Ried II 10 3 1 6 10
13 Wohnbau Dietach 9 2 2 5 8
14 UFC Hallein 9 1 3 5 6
15 Pinzgau Saalfelden 10 1 2 7 5
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 LASK Juniors 9 28 10 +18 17
2 Wallern / Marienkirchen 9 26 9 +17 19
3 Bad Schallerbach 10 23 14 +9 17
4 Wals-Grünau 10 21 11 +10 22
5 Gurten 11 18 11 +7 18
6 Kuchl 9 18 15 +3 14
7 Leonfelden 9 15 20 -5 10
8 SK Vorwarts Steyr 9 13 11 +2 14
9 Grödig 9 12 13 -1 13
10 Seekirchen 11 12 17 -5 12
11 Pinzgau Saalfelden 10 12 24 -12 5
12 TSV St. Johann 10 11 15 -4 14
13 Wohnbau Dietach 9 11 24 -13 8
14 Ried II 10 10 24 -14 10
15 UFC Hallein 9 9 21 -12 6
Regionalliga - North Austria. Regionalliga - North Predictions