Kuchl vs Leonfelden Statistics & Analysis

Kuchl

Oct 03, 2026 - 15:00

3 1.32

2 1.28

xG Accuracy: 52%

⚽

Leonfelden

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Kuchl Kuchl ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 3-2 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 03:08 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11250198

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Kuchl win · Kuchl 3–2 Leonfelden

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: Regionalliga - North
Fixture: Kuchl vs Leonfelden
Kickoff: 2026-10-03 15:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
xG (showing): Kuchl 1.32 — Leonfelden 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 09, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

Regionalliga - North — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Wals-Grünau	11	6	5	0	23
2	Wallern / Marienkirchen	10	7	1	2	22
3	LASK Juniors	10	6	2	2	20
4	Gurten	11	5	3	3	18
5	Bad Schallerbach	10	5	2	3	17
6	Kuchl	10	5	2	3	17
7	Grödig	10	5	1	4	16
8	SK Vorwarts Steyr	10	4	2	4	14
9	TSV St. Johann	10	4	2	4	14
10	Seekirchen	11	3	3	5	12
11	Ried II	11	3	2	6	11
12	Leonfelden	10	2	4	4	10
13	Wohnbau Dietach	10	2	2	6	8
14	UFC Hallein	10	1	3	6	6
15	Pinzgau Saalfelden	10	1	2	7	5

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Wallern / Marienkirchen	10	29	10	+19	22
2	LASK Juniors	10	29	10	+19	20
3	Wals-Grünau	11	23	13	+10	23
4	Bad Schallerbach	10	23	14	+9	17
5	Kuchl	10	21	17	+4	17
6	Gurten	11	18	11	+7	18
7	Grödig	10	17	13	+4	16
8	Leonfelden	10	17	23	-6	10
9	SK Vorwarts Steyr	10	13	12	+1	14
10	Seekirchen	11	12	17	-5	12
11	Pinzgau Saalfelden	10	12	24	-12	5
12	Ried II	11	12	26	-14	11
13	TSV St. Johann	10	11	15	-4	14
14	Wohnbau Dietach	10	11	29	-18	8
15	UFC Hallein	10	10	24	-14	6