Statistics / Football / Austria. Regionalliga - North / Leonfelden vs Gurten

Leonfelden vs Gurten Statistics & Analysis

⚽
Leonfelden
Aug 11, 2026 - 17:30
2 1.32
5 1.28
xG Accuracy: 30%
Gurten Gurten
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (7 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Leonfelden Gurten ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-5 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 05, 2026 · 02:16 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-3018875

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Gurten win · Leonfelden 2–5 Gurten
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Regionalliga - North
  • Fixture: Leonfelden vs Gurten
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-11 17:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
  • xG (showing): Leonfelden 1.32 — Gurten 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Regionalliga - North Regionalliga - North — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Wals-Grünau 10 6 4 0 22
2 Wallern / Marienkirchen 9 6 1 2 19
3 Gurten 9 5 1 3 16
4 LASK Juniors 8 4 2 2 14
5 Bad Schallerbach 9 4 2 3 14
6 Kuchl 9 4 2 3 14
7 Grödig 8 4 1 3 13
8 TSV St. Johann 9 4 1 4 13
9 SK Vorwarts Steyr 8 3 2 3 11
10 Leonfelden 8 2 4 2 10
11 Ried II 9 3 1 5 10
12 Seekirchen 9 2 2 5 8
13 Wohnbau Dietach 9 2 2 5 8
14 UFC Hallein 9 1 3 5 6
15 Pinzgau Saalfelden 9 1 2 6 5
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Wallern / Marienkirchen 9 26 9 +17 19
2 LASK Juniors 8 24 10 +14 14
3 Wals-Grünau 10 21 11 +10 22
4 Bad Schallerbach 9 20 14 +6 14
5 Gurten 9 18 11 +7 16
6 Kuchl 9 18 15 +3 14
7 Leonfelden 8 15 16 -1 10
8 Grödig 8 12 10 +2 13
9 Pinzgau Saalfelden 9 12 21 -9 5
10 TSV St. Johann 9 11 15 -4 13
11 Wohnbau Dietach 9 11 24 -13 8
12 SK Vorwarts Steyr 8 10 11 -1 11
13 Ried II 9 10 20 -10 10
14 UFC Hallein 9 9 21 -12 6
15 Seekirchen 9 8 17 -9 8
Regionalliga - North Austria. Regionalliga - North Predictions