Statistics / Football / Austria. Regionalliga - South / Kalsdorf vs Gleisdorf 09

Kalsdorf vs Gleisdorf 09 Statistics & Analysis

Kalsdorf Kalsdorf
Oct 09, 2026 - 17:00
1 1.32
2 1.28
xG Accuracy: 75%
Gleisdorf 09 Gleisdorf 09
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Kalsdorf Gleisdorf 09 ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-2 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 03, 2026 · 02:07 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-12698414

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Gleisdorf 09 win · Kalsdorf 1–2 Gleisdorf 09
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Regionalliga - South
  • Fixture: Kalsdorf vs Gleisdorf 09
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-09 17:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
  • xG (showing): Kalsdorf 1.32 — Gleisdorf 09 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS No
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: AI–Market Conflict - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 10, 2026 (UTC)

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Regionalliga - South Regionalliga - South — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Velden 10 6 4 0 22
2 Wolfsberger AC II 2 1 1 0 4
2 Austria Klagenfurt 10 6 1 3 19
3 Deutschlandsberger SC 9 5 3 1 18
4 Völkermarkt 10 5 2 3 17
5 Treibach 10 5 2 3 17
6 Kalsdorf 9 5 2 2 17
7 Wolfsberger AC 10 4 3 3 15
8 Weiz 9 3 5 1 14
9 SV Lafnitz 9 3 4 2 13
10 Allerheiligen 9 3 3 3 12
11 Tillmitsch 9 2 4 3 10
12 Bleiburg 10 2 3 5 9
13 Wolfsberg 10 1 4 5 7
14 Hartberg (Am) 9 1 3 5 6
15 Gleisdorf 09 9 1 2 6 5
16 Donau Klagenfurt 10 0 3 7 3
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Völkermarkt 10 20 10 +10 17
2 Allerheiligen 9 19 16 +3 12
3 SV Lafnitz 9 19 19 0 13
4 Velden 10 18 8 +10 22
5 Deutschlandsberger SC 9 18 11 +7 18
6 Treibach 10 18 11 +7 17
7 Austria Klagenfurt 10 18 14 +4 19
8 Kalsdorf 9 16 11 +5 17
9 Wolfsberger AC 10 16 15 +1 15
10 Weiz 9 15 10 +5 14
11 Bleiburg 10 15 18 -3 9
12 Tillmitsch 9 14 16 -2 10
13 Hartberg (Am) 9 13 21 -8 6
14 Gleisdorf 09 9 8 18 -10 5
15 Donau Klagenfurt 10 8 20 -12 3
16 Wolfsberg 10 7 24 -17 7
17 Wolfsberger AC II 2 4 2 +2 4
Regionalliga - South Austria. Regionalliga - South Predictions