Statistics / Football / Austria. Regionalliga - South / Gleisdorf 09 vs Tillmitsch

Gleisdorf 09 vs Tillmitsch Statistics & Analysis

Gleisdorf 09 Gleisdorf 09
Oct 02, 2026 - 17:00
0 1.32
0 1.28
xG Accuracy: 49%
Tillmitsch Tillmitsch
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (0 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Gleisdorf 09 Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 26, 2026 · 02:03 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-10976525

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Gleisdorf 09 0–0 Tillmitsch
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Regionalliga - South
  • Fixture: Gleisdorf 09 vs Tillmitsch
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-02 17:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
  • xG (showing): Gleisdorf 09 1.32 — Tillmitsch 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 04, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Regionalliga - South Regionalliga - South — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Velden 10 6 4 0 22
2 Wolfsberger AC II 2 1 1 0 4
2 Austria Klagenfurt 9 6 1 2 19
3 Deutschlandsberger SC 9 5 3 1 18
4 Völkermarkt 10 5 2 3 17
5 Treibach 10 5 2 3 17
6 Kalsdorf 9 5 2 2 17
7 Weiz 9 3 5 1 14
8 SV Lafnitz 9 3 4 2 13
9 Allerheiligen 9 3 3 3 12
10 Wolfsberger AC 9 3 3 3 12
11 Tillmitsch 9 2 4 3 10
12 Bleiburg 10 2 3 5 9
13 Wolfsberg 10 1 4 5 7
14 Hartberg (Am) 9 1 3 5 6
15 Gleisdorf 09 9 1 2 6 5
16 Donau Klagenfurt 10 0 3 7 3
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Völkermarkt 10 20 10 +10 17
2 Allerheiligen 9 19 16 +3 12
3 SV Lafnitz 9 19 19 0 13
4 Velden 10 18 8 +10 22
5 Deutschlandsberger SC 9 18 11 +7 18
6 Treibach 10 18 11 +7 17
7 Austria Klagenfurt 9 18 12 +6 19
8 Kalsdorf 9 16 11 +5 17
9 Weiz 9 15 10 +5 14
10 Bleiburg 10 15 18 -3 9
11 Wolfsberger AC 9 14 15 -1 12
12 Tillmitsch 9 14 16 -2 10
13 Hartberg (Am) 9 13 21 -8 6
14 Gleisdorf 09 9 8 18 -10 5
15 Donau Klagenfurt 10 8 20 -12 3
16 Wolfsberg 10 7 24 -17 7
17 Wolfsberger AC II 2 4 2 +2 4
Regionalliga - South Austria. Regionalliga - South Predictions