Deutschlandsberger SC vs Weiz Statistics & Analysis

Deutschlandsberger SC

Oct 02, 2026 - 17:00

0 1.32

0 1.28

xG Accuracy: 49%

Weiz

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (0 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
1X2 Deutschlandsberger SC Draw ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 26, 2026 · 02:02 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-10976431

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · Deutschlandsberger SC 0–0 Weiz

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Regionalliga - South
Fixture: Deutschlandsberger SC vs Weiz
Kickoff: 2026-10-02 17:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
xG (showing): Deutschlandsberger SC 1.32 — Weiz 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

Regionalliga - South — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Velden	11	7	4	0	25
2	Treibach	11	6	2	3	20
2	Wolfsberger AC II	2	1	1	0	4
3	Austria Klagenfurt	11	6	2	3	20
4	Deutschlandsberger SC	10	5	4	1	19
5	Völkermarkt	11	5	2	4	17
6	Weiz	10	4	5	1	17
7	Kalsdorf	10	5	2	3	17
8	Wolfsberger AC	11	4	3	4	15
9	SV Lafnitz	10	3	5	2	14
10	Allerheiligen	10	3	3	4	12
11	Tillmitsch	10	2	5	3	11
12	Bleiburg	11	2	4	5	10
13	Gleisdorf 09	10	2	2	6	8
14	Hartberg (Am)	10	1	4	5	7
15	Wolfsberg	11	1	4	6	7
16	Donau Klagenfurt	11	1	3	7	6

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Treibach	11	23	15	+8	20
2	Völkermarkt	11	21	13	+8	17
3	SV Lafnitz	10	21	21	0	14
4	Velden	11	20	9	+11	25
5	Wolfsberger AC	11	20	20	0	15
6	Deutschlandsberger SC	10	19	12	+7	19
7	Austria Klagenfurt	11	19	15	+4	20
8	Allerheiligen	10	19	17	+2	12
9	Kalsdorf	10	17	13	+4	17
10	Weiz	10	16	10	+6	17
11	Tillmitsch	10	16	18	-2	11
12	Bleiburg	11	16	19	-3	10
13	Hartberg (Am)	10	14	22	-8	7
14	Donau Klagenfurt	11	11	21	-10	6
15	Gleisdorf 09	10	10	19	-9	8
16	Wolfsberg	11	8	26	-18	7
17	Wolfsberger AC II	2	4	2	+2	4